Poll Average Details- US President - D Primaries - 2020-02-09 12:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Joe BidenBernie Sanders Joe BidenKamala Harris Joe BidenBeto O'Rourke Joe BidenPete Buttigieg Joe BidenElizabeth Warren Joe BidenStacey Abrams Joe BidenCory Booker Joe BidenAmy Klobuchar Joe BidenAndrew Yang Joe BidenJulián Castro Joe BidenTim Ryan Joe BidenMike Gravel Joe BidenBill de Blasio Joe BidenEric Swalwell Joe BidenTulsi Gabbard Joe BidenJohn Hickenlooper Joe BidenSteve Bullock Joe BidenJay Inslee Joe BidenJohn Delaney Joe BidenKirsten Gillibrand Joe BidenMarianne Williamson Joe BidenMichael Bennet Joe BidenGeoffrey Fieger Joe BidenTheodore M. "Ted" Crisell Joe BidenHarry W. Braun Joe BidenWillie Felix Carter Joe Biden Write-In Joe BidenJeffrey Boss Joe BidenFrederick H. Wiand Joe BidenSusanne Atanus Joe BidenMichael E. Arth Joe BidenMosheh Thezion Joe BidenWayne M. Messam Joe BidenRobert "Robby" Wells Joe BidenPaul A. Carluccio Joe BidenSeth Moulton Joe BidenDeJawon Joseph Joe BidenRichard Lyons Weil Joe BidenScott Walker Joe BidenAlan Howe Joe BidenJohn Washington III Joe BidenDonald Eugene Lowe Joe BidenGidget Groendyk Joe BidenBernard Korn Joe BidenKen Nwadike Joe BidenOscar De La Hoya Joe BidenHart Cunningham Joe BidenMary Aku Quartey Joe Biden
Change Research4/15X 1.00000   21.0000 20.0000 7.0000 9.0000 17.0000 8.0000 4.0000 4.0000 2.0000 2.0000 1.0000 1.0000     1.0000 2.0000 1.0000   1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000                     0.0000                              
Emerson College4/14X 0.98333   24.0000 29.0000 8.0000 8.0000 9.0000 7.0000   2.0000 1.0000 3.0000 3.0000 1.0000 1.0000   1.0000 1.0000 0.0000   0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000                       0.0000                              
Morning Consult4/14X 0.98333   31.0000 23.0000 9.0000 8.0000 7.0000 7.0000   4.0000 2.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000       1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                                                        
HarrisX3/30X 0.73333   29.2059 18.3042 6.4603 6.1911 2.9610 5.2489   3.7685 2.2880 0.8075           0.1346 0.4038   0.2692   0.5383 1.2113                                                      
Harvard-Harris3/26X 0.66667   26.1484 17.6678 10.9540 4.5936 1.4134 5.3003   3.1802 1.0600 1.7667 1.0600         0.3533 0.0000   0.3533   0.0000                                                        
Quinnipiac University3/25X 0.65000   29.0000 19.0000 8.0000 12.0000 4.0000 4.0000   2.0000 2.0000 0.0000 1.0000         0.0000 1.0000   0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000                                                      
SSRS3/17X 0.51667   28.0000 20.0000 12.0000 11.0000 1.0000 6.0000   3.0000 3.0000   1.0000           1.0000 0.0000 1.0000   1.0000                                                        
Monmouth University3/4X 0.30000   28.0000 25.0000 10.0000 6.0000 0.5000 8.0000   5.0000 3.0000 1.0000 1.0000     1.0000   0.5000 1.0000 0.0000 0.5000 0.0000 0.5000 0.5000 0.5000                                                    
D-CYFOR2/23X 0.15000   39.0000 14.0000 8.0000 3.0000 0.0000 5.0000   4.0000 2.0000   0.0000         1.0000       1.0000 0.0000                                                        
TOTAL 26.991631 21.496091 8.583324 8.033851 6.537103 6.350874 4.000000 3.298111 1.902708 1.505323 1.353651 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 0.841629 0.642192 0.546296 0.528505 0.520492 0.341742 0.283169 0.115385 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000