Poll Average Details- TN Governor - 2018-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bill Lee Karl Dean Jessie D. McDonald Joe B. Wilmoth Heather Scott Rick Tyler Mark "Coonrippy" Brown Robert Sawyers, Sr. Cory King Tommy Ray McAnally Toney Randall Mitchell Yvonne Neubert Jeremy Allen Stephenson Tracy C. Yaste Tisdale Vinnie Vineyard Patrick Whitlock Mark Wright Gabriel Fancher Sean Bruce Fleming William Andrew Helmstetter Matthew Koch Alfred Shawn Rapoza George Blackwell Smith IV Chad Riden Sherry L. Clark Justin Cornett Mike Toews Jaron D. Weidner Eddie Murphy
Targoz Market Research10/31X 1.00000   53.0000 - -1.6535 bias 44.0000 - 2.7777 bias                                                      
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/30X 0.98333   54.0000 - -0.2043 bias 37.0000 - 0.8627 bias                                                      
Emerson College10/30X 0.98333   54.0000 - 0.7826 bias 41.0000 - 0.7363 bias                                                      
Braun Research10/29X 0.96667   48.0000 - -4.8462 bias 36.0000 - 4.5061 bias                                                      
SSRS10/29X 0.96667   52.0000 - -0.7501 bias 42.0000 - 1.6902 bias                                                      
Cygnal (R)10/27X 0.93333   59.0000 - 0.2881 bias 36.0000 - -0.0166 bias                                                      
Marist Institute10/27X 0.93333   57.0000 - -0.3584 bias 40.0000 - 0.4625 bias                                                      
Siena Research Institute10/11X 0.66667   59.0000 - 0.9493 bias 33.0000 - -0.5836 bias                                                      
SurveyMonkey9/24X 0.38333   46.0000 - -2.7710 bias 35.0000 - 2.3995 bias                                                      
Vox Populi9/18X 0.28333   55.0000 - -0.3032 bias 46.0000 - 2.4096 bias                                                      
Triton Polling9/12X 0.18333   53.7000 - -2.4158 bias 37.3000 - 1.3459 bias                                                      
TOTAL 54.814490 37.437281 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000