Poll Average Details- RI Governor - 2018-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Gina M. Raimondo Spencer DickinsonAllan W. Fung Allan W. FungJoseph A. Trillo William H. Gilbert Anne Armstrong Write-In Luis Daniel Munoz
Fleming & Associates10/24X 1.00000   45.0000 - 0.9328 bias 34.0000 - 0.4802 bias 9.0000 - 1.3594 bias 1.7000 - -3.4479 bias 1.7000 - 0.7264 bias   1.0000 - 1.3594 bias
Harvard Institute of Politics10/9X 0.75000   40.0000 - -2.4769 bias 32.0000 - -2.8200 bias 17.0000 - 7.5865 bias        
University of New Hampshire10/8X 0.73333   48.0000 - 3.2219 bias 34.0000 - -2.4512 bias 5.0000 - 3.9743 bias 1.0000 - -1.5868 bias 1.0000 - -0.0023 bias   1.0000 - 3.9743 bias
TOTAL 43.796838 34.778126 6.222646 4.064358 0.985742 0.000000 -1.465704