Poll Average Details- OH Governor - 2018-11-06 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mike DeWine AbstainingRichard Cordray Travis Irvine Constance A. Gadell-Newton Richard A. Duncan Rebecca Ayers Renea Turner
Change Research11/4X 1.00000   43.0000 - -0.5008 bias 48.0000 - 0.7149 bias 5.0000 - 1.4740 bias 1.0000 - 0.5503 bias      
Research Co.11/3X 0.98333   44.0000 - 1.0358 bias 44.0000 - 0.9679 bias          
Cygnal (R)10/31X 0.93333   43.0000 - 0.2881 bias 43.0000 - -0.0166 bias 3.0000 - 1.7553 bias 2.0000 - 1.0809 bias      
Gravis Marketing10/30X 0.91667   43.0000 - 0.5484 bias 48.0000 - 0.7560 bias          
Emerson College10/28X 0.88333   46.0000 - 0.7826 bias 49.0000 - 0.7363 bias          
Baldwin Wallace University10/27X 0.86667   39.4000 - -6.7267 bias 38.8000 - 4.7369 bias 4.1000 - 4.2656 bias 1.9000 - 1.8155 bias      
Suffolk University10/8X 0.55000   40.0000 - -2.5107 bias 46.0000 - 1.8265 bias          
University of Akron Survey Research Center10/4X 0.48333   37.0000 - 0.2983 bias 36.0000 - 2.6324 bias          
Reuters/Ipsos9/21X 0.26667   45.0000 - -6.3315 bias 44.0000 - -5.4077 bias          
Marist Institute9/20X 0.25000   47.0000 - -0.3584 bias 47.0000 - 0.4625 bias          
Triton Polling9/20X 0.25000   48.6000 - -2.4158 bias 43.9000 - 1.3459 bias          
Morning Consult9/11X 0.10000   39.0000 - -3.7909 bias 39.0000 - 2.6453 bias          
TOTAL 43.847696 43.392022 1.622929 0.493129 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000