Poll Average Details- OH Governor - 2018-11-06 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Mike DeWine Abstaining	Richard Cordray	Travis Irvine	Constance A. Gadell-Newton	Richard A. Duncan	Rebecca Ayers	Renea Turner
Change Research	11/4	X 1.00000		43.0000 - -1.2913 bias	48.0000 - 1.4957 bias	5.0000 - 1.5239 bias	1.0000 - 0.3517 bias
Research Co.	11/3	X 0.98333		44.0000 - -0.3728 bias	44.0000 - 2.3692 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/31	X 0.93333		43.0000 - 0.1689 bias	43.0000 - 0.0766 bias	3.0000 - 1.9588 bias	2.0000 - 0.3674 bias
Gravis Marketing	10/30	X 0.91667		43.0000 - 0.2608 bias	48.0000 - 1.1590 bias
Emerson College	10/28	X 0.88333		46.0000 - 0.6906 bias	49.0000 - 0.8084 bias
Baldwin Wallace University	10/27	X 0.86667		39.4000 - -4.6995 bias	38.8000 - 3.7908 bias	4.1000 - 2.3052 bias	1.9000 - 0.8803 bias
Suffolk University	10/8	X 0.55000		40.0000 - -2.1317 bias	46.0000 - 1.6356 bias
University of Akron Survey Research Center	10/4	X 0.48333		37.0000 - 0.2983 bias	36.0000 - 2.6324 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	9/21	X 0.26667		45.0000 - 0.8563 bias	44.0000 - 3.1158 bias
Triton Polling	9/20	X 0.25000		48.6000 - -2.8409 bias	43.9000 - 2.3272 bias
Marist Institute	9/20	X 0.25000		47.0000 - -0.4397 bias	47.0000 - 0.7635 bias
Morning Consult	9/11	X 0.10000		39.0000 - -1.6394 bias	39.0000 - 3.1429 bias
TOTAL				43.668782	42.804429	2.144064	1.091357	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000