Poll Average Details- KS Governor - 2018-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Laura Kelly Kris Kobach Kris KobachGreg Orman Jeffrey S. Caldwell II Richard Kloos
Emerson College10/28X 1.00000   43.0000 - 0.8084 bias 44.0000 - 0.6906 bias 8.0000 - 0.7151 bias    
Reuters/Ipsos10/27X 0.98333   43.0000 - 3.1158 bias 41.0000 - 0.8563 bias 9.0000 - 1.5898 bias    
Public Policy Polling10/21X 0.88333   41.0000 - 1.1680 bias 41.0000 - -0.1800 bias 10.0000 - 2.9345 bias 2.0000 - 1.4191 bias 0.0000 - 2.9345 bias
Remington Research10/1X 0.55000   42.0000 - 0.8599 bias 41.0000 - -0.4438 bias 10.0000 - 1.8659 bias 2.0000 - 0.4208 bias 1.0000 - 1.8659 bias
Fort Hays State University9/25X 0.45000   40.0000 - -2.1477 bias 36.0000 - 1.5683 bias 10.0000 - 5.1300 bias    
Civiqs9/24X 0.43333  X 1/2 41.0000 - 2.9404 bias 39.0000 - -1.4007 bias 9.0000 - 0.5425 bias 5.0000 - 0.3540 bias 0.0000 - 0.5425 bias
TOTAL 40.759779 40.702419 7.178082 1.447468 -1.930866