Poll Average Details- CT Governor - 2018-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Ned Lamont Ned Lamont	Bob Stefanowski Bob Stefanowski	Oz Griebel	Mark Stewart Greenstein	Lee Whitnum	Rod Hanscomb
Gravis Marketing	11/1	X 1.00000		46.0000 - 1.1590 bias	37.0000 - 0.2608 bias	9.0000 - 4.9728 bias
Sacred Heart University	10/31	X 0.98333		37.6000 - -3.1999 bias	40.0000 - 2.6672 bias	9.0000 - bias
Emerson College	10/29	X 0.95000		46.0000 - 0.8084 bias	39.0000 - 0.6906 bias	10.0000 - 0.7151 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/28	X 0.93333		47.0000 - 1.0754 bias	43.0000 - -0.2682 bias	7.0000 - 4.3101 bias
Public Policy Polling	10/9	X 0.61667		43.0000 - 1.1680 bias	38.0000 - -0.1800 bias
TOTAL				43.840658	38.759488	6.260800	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000