Poll Average Details- CA Governor - Open Primary - 2018-06-05 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Gavin Newsom John H. Cox Antonio Villaraigosa Travis Allen John Chiang Delaine Eastin Robert C. Newman, II Peter Y. Liu Yvonne R. Girard Amanda Rentería Armando M. Arreola K. Pearce Veronika Fimbres Arman Soltani Peter Crawford Valentino Thomas Jefferson "Tom" Cares Shubham Goel Albert Caesar Mezetti Klement Tinaj Akinyemi Agbede Robert Davidson Griffis Michael Shellenberger Josh Jones Christopher N. Carlson Gloria E. La Riva Jeff Edward Taylor Desmond Silveira Johnny Wattenburg Hakan "Hawk" Mikado Juan "J." Bribiesca Nickolas Wildstar Zoltan Istvan Gyurko
University of California - Berkeley5/28X 1.00000   33.0000 - 1.7479 bias 20.0000 - 1.0904 bias 13.0000 - 1.7479 bias 12.0000 - 1.0904 bias 7.0000 - 1.7479 bias 4.0000 - 1.7479 bias                                                    
Emerson College5/24X 0.93333   24.0000 - 0.8084 bias 16.0000 - 0.6906 bias 12.0000 - 0.8084 bias 11.0000 - 0.6906 bias 10.0000 - 0.8084 bias 4.0000 - 0.8084 bias                                                    
YouGov5/24X 0.93333   33.0000 - 1.4134 bias 17.0000 - 0.0288 bias 9.0000 - 1.4134 bias 10.0000 - 0.0288 bias 8.0000 - 1.4134 bias 4.0000 - 1.4134 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 0.0000 - 0.0288 bias 0.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 1.4134 bias           0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 1.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.3922 bias 0.0000 - 1.3922 bias 0.0000 - 2.6368 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 3.6071 bias 0.0000 - 3.6071 bias
Competitive Edge Research & Communication5/22X 0.90000   26.0000 - 0.7247 bias 22.0000 - 0.6276 bias 12.0000 - 0.7247 bias 9.0000 - 0.6276 bias 7.0000 - 0.7247 bias 8.0000 - 0.7247 bias                                                    
Survey USA5/21X 0.88333   33.0000 - 0.5274 bias 17.0000 - 0.3265 bias 8.0000 - 0.5274 bias 12.0000 - 0.3265 bias 10.0000 - 0.5274 bias 2.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias           1.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 1.0702 bias 0.0000 - 1.0702 bias 0.0000 - -0.4922 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 1.3296 bias 0.0000 - 1.3296 bias
Public Policy Institute5/20X 0.86667   25.0000 - 7.7960 bias 19.0000 - -0.6933 bias 15.0000 - 7.7960 bias 11.0000 - -0.6933 bias 9.0000 - 7.7960 bias 6.0000 - 7.7960 bias                                                    
USC Dornsife/LA Times5/18X 0.83333   18.0000 - 1.3631 bias 9.0000 - -1.6801 bias 11.0000 - 1.3631 bias 4.0000 - -1.6801 bias 5.0000 - 1.3631 bias 2.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 0.0000 - -1.6801 bias 3.0000 - 1.3631 bias           1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.1683 bias 0.0000 - -0.1683 bias 1.0000 - 1.5597 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.4244 bias 0.0000 - -0.4244 bias
Gravis Marketing5/5X 0.61667   22.0000 - 1.1590 bias 23.0000 - 0.2608 bias 19.0000 - 1.1590 bias 8.0000 - 0.2608 bias 9.0000 - 1.1590 bias 4.0000 - 1.1590 bias                       2.0000 - 1.1590 bias                            
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)4/3X 0.08333   26.0000 - 0.3912 bias 15.0000 - 3.9791 bias 13.0000 - 0.3912 bias 10.0000 - 3.9791 bias 7.0000 - 0.3912 bias 6.0000 - 0.3912 bias                                                    
TOTAL 25.187313 17.575901 10.192041 9.620818 6.163672 2.366982 1.409357 0.723822 0.409357 0.193348 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.454450 -0.672560 -0.735411 -0.768916 -0.787784 -0.787784 -0.787784 -0.794143 -0.794143 -0.940624 -1.024761 -1.024761 -1.024761 -1.024761 -1.102249 -1.580166 -1.580166