Poll Average Details- QC House of Commons - Popular Vote - 2019-10-21 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Liberal Party Bloc Québécois Conservative Party New Democratic Party Green Party People's Party of Canada Communist Party Christian Heritage Party Progressive Canadian Party Marxist-Leninist Party Marijuana Party Independent No Party Affiliation Rhinoceros Party Canadian Nationalist Party Animal Protection Party Veterans Coalition Party Pour l'Indépendance du Québec
Innovative Research9/25X 1.00000   35.0000 - 3.2124 bias 20.0000 - -7.5038 bias 21.0000 - -4.8800 bias 10.0000 - -1.3312 bias 10.0000 - 3.6768 bias 6.0000 - 3.6888 bias                        
Abacus Data8/6X 0.16667   36.0000 - -4.9714 bias 18.0000 - -2.8896 bias 24.0000 - -2.3234 bias 9.0000 - 7.1125 bias 9.0000 - 2.3226 bias 2.0000 - 1.0629 bias                        
Mainstreet Research7/31X 0.06667   34.5000 - -1.2213 bias 18.6000 - -5.5234 bias 23.3000 - -1.0095 bias 9.3000 - 0.4056 bias 8.9000 - 2.1777 bias 4.4000 - 2.3689 bias                        
TOTAL 33.241286 26.427265 25.855027 9.923305 6.392638 2.110370 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000