Poll Average Details- DEU Bundestag - Popular Vote - 2017-09-24 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Christian Democratic Union Social Democratic Party Free Democratic Party Alternative for Germany The Left Alliance '90/The Greens Others Christian Social Union German Centre Party German Communist Party National Democratic Party of Germany Free Voters Human Environment Animal Protection Party Ecological Democratic Party Bavaria Party Civil Rights Movement Solidarity Pirate Party Germany Socialist Equality Party, Fourth Internationale Bergpartei, die "ÜberPartei" Marxist-Leninist Party of Germany Die PARTEI Animal Welfare Alliance Democracy through Referendum V-Partei3 Basic Income Alliance Democracy in Motion Party for Health Research The Urban. A HipHop Party Human World Party of Humanists Party of Reason The Right
Emnid8/23X 1.00000   38.0000 - -0.4584 bias 23.0000 - -1.8248 bias 9.0000 - -1.6063 bias 8.0000 - -1.9928 bias 9.0000 - 1.1230 bias 7.0000 - 0.9787 bias                                                    
TOTAL 38.458400 24.824800 10.606300 9.992800 7.877000 6.021300 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000