Poll Average Details- Estonia Riigikogu - Popular Vote - 2019-03-03 12:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Estonian Reform Party Estonian Centre Party Conservative People's Party of Estonia Estonian Social Democratic Party Pro Patria Estonia 200 Estonian Greens Estonian Free Party Estonian United Left Party Richness of Life Independent Candidates
Kantar Emor2/28X 1.00000   26.6000 - -0.0438 bias 24.5000 - 2.7918 bias 17.3000 - -0.6822 bias 11.9000 - -1.2397 bias 10.1000 - -1.5517 bias 4.3000 - 1.9642 bias 2.2000 - -0.0060 bias 1.3000 - 0.1724 bias      
Norstat2/24X 0.93333   29.5000 - -1.0057 bias 25.7000 - 4.2745 bias 16.4000 - 0.0549 bias 10.2000 - 2.0373 bias 9.2000 - -1.9505 bias 3.3000 - 0.0624 bias 2.9000 - 1.1543 bias 1.0000 - -0.1331 bias      
Turu-uuringute2/20X 0.86667   24.0000 - -4.9344 bias 28.0000 - 4.9010 bias 17.0000 - -0.7622 bias 11.0000 - 1.1674 bias 10.0000 - -1.4444 bias 4.0000 - -0.3568 bias 3.0000 - 1.1775 bias 3.0000 - 1.8486 bias      
TOTAL 28.640095 22.044452 17.368405 10.457074 11.420469 3.261948 1.933864 1.136800 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000