Poll Average Details- Andalucía Parliament - Popular Vote - 2018-12-02 13:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Spanish Socialist Workers' Party People's Party Citizens Forward Andalusia Vox Animalist Party with the Environment Blank - Void Union, Progress, and Democracy Blank Seats Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain Spanish Falange of the JONS Spanish Communist Workers' Party United Free Citizens To Solution (Soluciona) Revolutionary Anticapitalist Left Andalusia by Herself Republican Alternative RISA Equo-Initiative Andalusia Zero Cuts–For a Fairer World–Green Group Andalusian Nation Independientes Huelva Andalusian Convergence Respect CILU-Linares Connect Andalusia UNIDOS SÍ-Democracia Efectiva
GAD311/14X 1.00000   33.5000 - 1.4380 bias 22.3000 - -3.9555 bias 19.5000 - 2.3851 bias 17.4000 - 1.5623 bias 3.6000 - -3.1553 bias 1.7000 - -0.1971 bias                                          
TOTAL 32.062000 26.255500 17.114900 15.837700 6.755300 1.897100 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000