Poll Average Details- CA US President - R Primary - 2016-06-07 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald Trump Donald TrumpTed Cruz Donald TrumpJohn Kasich Donald TrumpBen Carson Donald TrumpJim Gilmore Donald TrumpJames "Jimmy" Ogle Donald TrumpJames Alexander-Pace Donald TrumpJoann Breivogel Donald TrumpDonald James Gonzales Donald TrumpVictor Williams Donald TrumpTroy Hugh Southern Donald TrumpJohn Dowell Donald TrumpDavid P. Thomson Donald TrumpFrederic Vidal Donald TrumpJames Germallo Donald Trump
YouGov5/16X 1.00000   66.0000 11.0000 7.0000 4.0000 2.0000                    
Survey USA4/30X 0.73333   54.0000 20.0000 16.0000                        
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News4/21X 0.58333   49.0000 22.0000 20.0000                        
Sextant Strategies4/17X 0.51667   41.0000 23.0000 21.0000                        
Field Poll4/4X 0.30000   39.0000 32.0000 18.0000                        
Los Angeles Times3/23X 0.10000   37.0000 30.0000 12.0000                        
TOTAL 52.814433 19.479381 14.798969 4.000000 2.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000