Poll Average Details- ESP Congress of Deputies - Popular Vote - 2015-12-20 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal People's Party Spanish Socialist Workers' Party Podemos Citizens Popular Unity Vox Democracy and Freedom Republican Left of Catalonia Euskal Herria Bildu Basque Nationalist Party Galician Nationalist Bloc Canarian Coalition Union, Progress, and Democracy More for Mallorca Yes to the Future (Geroa Bai) Democratic Union of Catalonia Others Blank - Void Animalist Party with the Environment Blank Seats Humanist Party PI - Proposal for the Islands Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain Zero Cuts-Green Group For a Fairer World Spanish Falange of the JONS Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management Federation of Independents of Aragon Family and Life Party Death to the System To Solution (Soluciona) Liberal Party of the Right For the Left-The Greens
GAD312/14X 1.00000   28.6000 - -3.9555 bias 21.0000 - 1.4380 bias 17.9000 - -2.1450 bias 17.6000 - 2.3851 bias 4.1000 - 0.5655 bias   2.4000 - 0.2310 bias 2.3000 - -0.6076 bias 1.1000 - 0.1142 bias 1.3000 - 0.1195 bias   0.4000 - 0.0644 bias                                          
TNS-Demoscopia12/13X 0.98333   28.9000 - 3.2708 bias 18.9000 - -1.2343 bias 17.3000 - -1.4122 bias 20.0000 - 5.8396 bias 4.8000 - 1.6649 bias                                                        
Metroscopia12/10X 0.93333   25.3000 - -2.6596 bias 21.0000 - 0.2411 bias 19.1000 - -0.9414 bias 18.2000 - 3.5030 bias 5.0000 - 1.0415 bias                                                        
DYM12/9X 0.91667   26.7000 - -3.7369 bias 17.0000 - -4.3489 bias 19.1000 - 0.0375 bias 23.2000 - 5.9198 bias 6.3000 - 3.1512 bias                                                        
Redondo y Asociados12/9X 0.91667   28.3000 - -0.6859 bias 20.8000 - -0.3278 bias 15.3000 - -4.4310 bias 19.8000 - 4.9536 bias 3.3000 - -0.1749 bias   1.8000 - -0.3421 bias 1.9000 - -0.3560 bias 1.2000 - 0.2853 bias 1.4000 - 0.1172 bias   0.4000 - 0.0426 bias     0.1000 - -0.0156 bias                                    
Invymark12/7X 0.88333   29.0000 - 2.2747 bias 18.9000 - 1.2875 bias 17.2000 - -0.5645 bias 18.9000 - 1.5370 bias                                                          
Sigma Dos12/3X 0.81667   27.5000 - 1.9252 bias 19.4000 - 0.0127 bias 17.2000 - 0.5193 bias 21.6000 - 2.0868 bias 4.0000 - 1.4757 bias   2.0000 - -0.1390 bias 2.0000 - 1.2965 bias   1.0000 - 1.5395 bias                                              
GESOP11/28X 0.73333   23.9000 - -2.8847 bias 21.4000 - 0.9073 bias 16.0000 - -3.2456 bias 21.0000 - 3.2445 bias     2.0000 - -0.2464 bias 2.7000 - 1.1433 bias                                                  
Demoscopia y Servicios11/26X 0.70000   28.3000 - 0.6534 bias 21.2000 - -0.8070 bias 15.5000 - -1.9375 bias 19.9000 - 3.9074 bias 4.1000 - 0.1102 bias   2.0000 - -0.1322 bias 2.1000 - -0.1608 bias 1.1000 - 0.2957 bias       0.2000 - -0.3991 bias                                        
Simple Lógica11/16X 0.53333   26.5000 - -0.0763 bias 20.4000 - 2.3613 bias 16.9000 - -2.5422 bias 21.9000 - 6.0080 bias 4.5000 - 1.1488 bias   1.6000 - -0.5360 bias     0.9000 - -0.2358 bias     0.6000 - 0.0321 bias                                        
Celeste-Tel11/6X 0.36667   26.3600 - -0.4945 bias 24.0200 - 0.6139 bias 10.8200 - -3.5109 bias 21.1400 - 2.1736 bias   0.7400 - -2.3825 bias   1.6900 - -0.4051 bias   1.2500 - -0.0172 bias 0.6900 - 0.1373 bias 0.4300 - -0.0382 bias 0.5600 - 1.2568 bias 0.1500 - 0.0184 bias 0.1900 - 0.0728 bias 0.6400 - 0.5411 bias                                  
MyWord10/26X 0.18333   26.3000 - -1.6367 bias 21.6000 - 0.7548 bias 14.9000 - -0.0633 bias 18.6000 - 3.8530 bias                 1.0000 - 0.2245 bias                                        
TOTAL 27.987507 20.243947 18.592493 16.274519 3.386081 3.122500 2.161392 1.994662 0.912338 0.821892 0.552700 0.365645 0.341457 0.131600 0.116057 0.098900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000