Poll Average Details- MI US President - R Primary - 2016-03-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpTed Cruz Donald J. TrumpJohn Kasich Donald J. TrumpMarco A. Rubio Donald J. TrumpBen Carson Donald J. TrumpJeb Bush Donald J. TrumpLindsey Graham Donald J. TrumpMike Huckabee Donald J. TrumpRick Santorum Donald J. TrumpGeorge Pataki Donald J. TrumpChris Christie Donald J. Trump Uncommitted Donald J. TrumpRand Paul Donald J. TrumpCarly Fiorina Donald J. Trump
Mitchell Research & Communications3/6X 1.00000   42.0000 19.3000 19.6000 9.0000 4.0000                  
Monmouth University3/6X 1.00000   36.0000 23.0000 21.0000 13.0000                    
American Research Group3/5X 0.98333   31.0000 15.0000 33.0000 11.0000 6.0000                  
YouGov3/4X 0.96667   39.0000 24.0000 15.0000 16.0000 5.0000                  
Marist Institute3/3X 0.95000   41.0000 22.0000 13.0000 17.0000                    
Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (Michigan State University)3/3X 0.95000   36.1000 19.5000 8.9000 18.1000                    
Glengariff Group2/16X 0.68333   25.0000 15.0000 11.0000 12.0000 9.0000 5.0000                
TOTAL 36.200765 19.886480 17.735459 13.749235 5.747706 5.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000