Poll Average Details- FL US President - R Primary - 2016-03-15 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpMarco A. Rubio Donald J. TrumpTed Cruz Donald J. TrumpJeb Bush Donald J. TrumpJohn Kasich Donald J. TrumpChris Christie Donald J. TrumpCarly Fiorina Donald J. TrumpRand Paul Donald J. TrumpBen Carson Donald J. TrumpMike Huckabee Donald J. TrumpRick Santorum Donald J. TrumpLindsey Graham Donald J. TrumpPaul Ryan Donald J. TrumpJim Gilmore Donald J. Trump
Quinnipiac University3/13X 1.00000   46.0000 22.0000 14.0000   10.0000                  
YouGov3/11X 0.96667   44.0000 21.0000 24.0000   9.0000                  
Florida Atlantic University3/11X 0.96667   44.0000 21.0000 21.0000   9.0000                  
Marist Institute3/10X 0.95000   43.0000 22.0000 21.0000   9.0000                  
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News3/8X 0.91667   43.0000 20.0000 16.0000   10.0000                  
Monmouth University3/6X 0.88333   38.0000 30.0000 17.0000   10.0000       1.0000          
Survey USA3/6X 0.88333   42.0000 22.0000 17.0000   10.0000                  
Public Policy Polling2/25X 0.71667   45.0000 25.0000 10.0000   8.0000       5.0000          
Opinion Savvy1/18X 0.08333   31.2000 12.3000 18.9000 12.4000 3.2000 4.4000 4.1000 3.0000 6.8000 1.8000 0.2000      
TOTAL 43.011312 22.630090 17.768100 12.400000 9.337104 4.400000 4.100000 3.000000 2.990099 1.800000 0.200000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000