Poll Average Details- NJ US Senate - Special Election - 2013-10-16 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Cory Booker	Steve Lonegan	Pablo Olivera	Eugene M. LaVergne	Antonio Nico Sabas	Robert Depasquale	Stuart David Meissner	Edward C. Stackhouse, Jr.
Stockton University	10/8	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 0.2408 bias	39.0000 - 0.6708 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/7	X 0.98333		53.0000 - 0.3688 bias	41.0000 - 0.1363 bias
Fairleigh Dickinson University	10/5	X 0.95000		45.0000 - -0.5018 bias	29.0000 - 0.8750 bias
Monmouth University	9/29	X 0.85000		53.0000 - 1.2762 bias	40.0000 - -0.3486 bias
Kean University	9/19	X 0.68333		52.0000 - 3.7980 bias	33.0000 - -2.5170 bias
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)	9/9	X 0.51667		64.0000 - 1.3156 bias	29.0000 - -1.7158 bias
TOTAL				50.975945	36.053514	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000