Poll Average Details- MO Governor - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Eric Greitens Eric GreitensChris Koster Chris KosterCisse Spragins Don Fitz Martin "Mad Dog" Lindstedt Theodis "Ted" Brown, Sr. Dave Altis Lester Benton "Les" Turilli, Jr.
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   47.0000 - -2.2024 bias 48.0000 - 2.6000 bias            
Public Policy Polling11/2X 0.91667   44.0000 - -0.1800 bias 47.0000 - 1.1680 bias 2.0000 - 1.4191 bias 1.0000 - 0.9532 bias       1.0000 - 2.9345 bias
Remington Research11/1X 0.90000   46.0000 - -0.4438 bias 45.0000 - 0.8599 bias 2.0000 - 0.4208 bias 1.0000 - 0.4244 bias       1.0000 - 1.8659 bias
DFM Research11/1X 0.90000   39.0000 - -4.0899 bias 45.0000 - 4.5836 bias            
Monmouth University10/31X 0.88333   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 46.0000 - 1.9679 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias          
BK Strategies10/28X 0.83333   45.0000 - 3.2404 bias 46.0000 - 0.5602 bias            
Mason-Dixon10/26X 0.80000   45.0000 - 0.8543 bias 46.0000 - 0.4277 bias            
TOTAL 45.213956 44.395649 1.115067 0.308774 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -1.405102