Poll Average Details- TN US Senate - 2018-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Marsha Blackburn Marsha Blackburn	Phil Bredesen John Wolfe Jr.	Trudy Austin	Dean Hill	Breton Phillips	Kris L. Todd	John Carico	Kevin Lee McCants
Targoz Market Research	10/31	X 1.00000		49.0000 - -2.0175 bias	49.0000 - 3.1386 bias
Emerson College	10/30	X 0.98333		52.0000 - 0.6906 bias	44.0000 - 0.8084 bias
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News	10/30	X 0.98333		50.0000 - -0.5021 bias	41.0000 - 1.0608 bias
Braun Research	10/29	X 0.96667		44.0000 - -4.2424 bias	44.0000 - 3.9753 bias
SSRS	10/29	X 0.96667		49.0000 - -0.8430 bias	45.0000 - 1.4667 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/27	X 0.93333		51.0000 - 0.1689 bias	45.0000 - 0.0766 bias
Marist Institute	10/27	X 0.93333		51.0000 - -0.4397 bias	46.0000 - 0.7635 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	10/11	X 0.66667		47.0000 - 0.8563 bias	44.0000 - 3.1158 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/11	X 0.66667		54.0000 - -0.0165 bias	40.0000 - 0.4840 bias
YouGov	10/5	X 0.56667		50.0000 - 0.0288 bias	42.0000 - 1.4134 bias
SurveyMonkey	9/24	X 0.38333		42.0000 - -2.2024 bias	42.0000 - 2.6000 bias
Vox Populi	9/18	X 0.28333		49.0000 - -0.3032 bias	51.0000 - 2.4096 bias
Triton Polling	9/12	X 0.18333		48.3000 - -2.8409 bias	45.0000 - 2.3272 bias
TOTAL				50.099536	42.643274	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000