Poll Average Details- NM US Senate - 2018-11-06 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Martin Heinrich Martin Heinrich	Mick Rich Mick Rich	Gary Johnson Aubrey L. Dunn, Jr.
Research Co.	11/3	X 1.00000		47.0000 - 2.3692 bias	33.0000 - -0.3728 bias	11.0000 - -1.7031 bias
Carroll Strategies	11/1	X 0.96667		50.7000 - -3.2780 bias	37.9000 - 4.8620 bias	8.4000 - -2.6400 bias
Research & Polling Inc. (Albuquerque Journal)	11/1	X 0.96667		51.0000 - 0.0906 bias	31.0000 - 0.0183 bias	12.0000 - 0.4081 bias
Emerson College	10/26	X 0.86667		48.0000 - 0.8084 bias	32.0000 - 0.6906 bias	16.0000 - 1.2130 bias
Pacific Market Research	10/25	X 0.85000		40.0000 - -5.8349 bias	28.0000 - 1.3027 bias	22.0000 - 9.0644 bias
NSON Opinion Research	9/24	X 0.33333	X 1/2	36.0000 - -2.8674 bias	10.0000 - -8.1601 bias	28.0000 - 16.5411 bias
Lux Research	9/17	X 0.21667	X 1/2	38.0000 - -4.0877 bias	10.0000 - -17.3743 bias	28.0000 - 21.4620 bias
TOTAL				48.105260	30.675789	12.387688