Poll Average Details- FL US Senate - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bill Nelson Rick Scott Michael S. Levinson Howard W. Knepper Charles Frederick Tolbert Lateresa A. Jones David Weeks
Trafalgar Group11/5X 1.00000   47.3000 - -1.6435 bias 49.0000 - 1.8988 bias          
Harris Interactive11/4X 0.98333   45.2000 - 0.3558 bias 49.1000 - -0.1209 bias          
Quinnipiac University11/4X 0.98333   51.0000 - 1.0754 bias 44.0000 - -0.2682 bias          
St. Pete Polls11/4X 0.98333   49.9000 - 1.2909 bias 46.2000 - -1.0515 bias          
Research Co.11/3X 0.96667   47.0000 - 2.3692 bias 46.0000 - -0.3728 bias          
Emerson College11/3X 0.96667   50.0000 - 0.8084 bias 45.0000 - 0.6906 bias          
Marist Institute11/2X 0.95000   50.0000 - 0.7635 bias 46.0000 - -0.4397 bias          
Gravis Marketing11/2X 0.95000   50.0000 - 1.1590 bias 47.0000 - 0.2608 bias          
Change Research11/2X 0.95000   50.0000 - 1.4957 bias 48.0000 - -1.2913 bias          
MWR Strategies10/31X 0.91667   41.0000 - 0.1520 bias 43.0000 - 0.4665 bias          
Targoz Market Research10/31X 0.91667   45.0000 - 3.1386 bias 49.0000 - -2.0175 bias          
Vox Populi10/30X 0.90000   50.0000 - 2.4096 bias 50.0000 - -0.3032 bias          
SSRS10/29X 0.88333   49.0000 - 1.4667 bias 47.0000 - -0.8430 bias          
Cygnal (R)10/29X 0.88333   50.0000 - 0.0766 bias 48.0000 - 0.1689 bias          
Suffolk University10/28X 0.86667   45.0000 - 1.6356 bias 43.0000 - -2.1317 bias          
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.85000   48.0000 - 0.4840 bias 44.0000 - -0.0165 bias          
YouGov10/26X 0.83333   46.0000 - 1.4134 bias 46.0000 - 0.0288 bias          
University of North Florida10/26X 0.83333   47.0000 - 2.1294 bias 46.0000 - -2.2656 bias          
Reuters/Ipsos10/26X 0.83333   49.0000 - 3.1158 bias 44.0000 - 0.8563 bias          
Strategic Research Associates10/23X 0.78333   46.0000 - 1.4101 bias 45.0000 - 0.4303 bias          
Saint Leo University10/22X 0.76667   46.6000 - 3.4382 bias 38.4000 - -3.7505 bias          
Florida Atlantic University10/21X 0.75000   41.0000 - 2.6545 bias 42.0000 - -0.8516 bias          
Survey USA10/21X 0.75000   49.0000 - 0.5274 bias 41.0000 - 0.3265 bias          
SEA Polling & Strategic Design (D)10/20X 0.73333   45.0000 - 2.0255 bias 47.0000 - -0.2297 bias          
OnMessage Inc. (R)10/18X 0.70000  X 1/2 46.0000 - -1.9372 bias 51.0000 - 3.3406 bias          
Florida Southern College Center for Polling and Policy Research10/5X 0.48333   44.5000 - 0.8484 bias 46.0000 - -0.2299 bias          
Mason-Dixon9/27X 0.35000   47.0000 - 0.4277 bias 46.0000 - 0.8543 bias          
Cherry Communications9/24X 0.30000   48.0000 - -0.1037 bias 46.0000 - 0.5152 bias          
Rasmussen Reports9/11X 0.08333   45.0000 - 0.4180 bias 44.0000 - 1.5977 bias          
TOTAL 46.155292 46.121348 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000