[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders | Donald Trump Ted Cruz | Gary Johnson | Jill Stein | Monica Moorehead | Write-In | Darrell L. Castle | Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik | Laurence Kotlikoff | Tom Hoefling | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | Chris Keniston | Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado | Evan McMullin | Michael A. Maturen | Cherunda Fox | Marshall Schoenke |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | X 1.00000 | 44.0000 - 2.3995 bias | 42.0000 - -2.7710 bias | 7.0000 - 3.8477 bias | 4.0000 - 2.3758 bias | ||||||||||||||

Ipsos | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 46.0000 - 4.1538 bias | 40.0000 - 1.7940 bias | ||||||||||||||||

Gravis Marketing | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 47.0000 - 0.7560 bias | 44.0000 - 0.5484 bias | 3.0000 - 1.7092 bias | 1.0000 - 1.4639 bias | ||||||||||||||

YouGov | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 42.2000 - 1.3621 bias | 37.7000 - 0.0717 bias | 4.6000 - 3.6731 bias | 2.6000 - 1.4484 bias | ||||||||||||||

Clarity Campaign Labs | 11/2 | X 0.91667 | 47.0000 - 4.0990 bias | 43.0000 - -1.3326 bias | 4.0000 - 1.2509 bias | 1.0000 - 0.0086 bias | ||||||||||||||

Remington Research | 11/2 | X 0.91667 | 49.0000 - 1.6114 bias | 41.0000 - -0.8071 bias | 3.0000 - 0.3321 bias | |||||||||||||||

Loras College | 11/1 | X 0.90000 | 44.0000 - 3.1867 bias | 38.0000 - -1.2295 bias | 7.0000 - 0.8422 bias | 2.0000 - 1.5194 bias | ||||||||||||||

Public Policy Polling | 11/1 | X 0.90000 | 48.0000 - 0.9088 bias | 41.0000 - 0.0973 bias | ||||||||||||||||

Marquette University Law School | 10/31 | X 0.88333 | 46.0000 - 1.2612 bias | 40.0000 - 0.4840 bias | ||||||||||||||||

Emerson College | 10/27 | X 0.81667 | 48.0000 - 0.7363 bias | 42.0000 - 0.7826 bias | 9.0000 - 1.4516 bias | 0.0000 - 1.6142 bias | ||||||||||||||

McLaughlin & Associates (R) | 10/20 | X 0.70000 | 48.0000 - -3.4361 bias | 43.0000 - 4.1073 bias | 4.0000 - 0.8187 bias | |||||||||||||||

Monmouth University | 10/18 | X 0.66667 | 47.0000 - 1.2762 bias | 40.0000 - -0.3486 bias | 6.0000 - 1.1165 bias | 1.0000 - 0.3957 bias | ||||||||||||||

St. Norbert College | 10/16 | X 0.63333 | 47.0000 - 2.4120 bias | 39.0000 - -0.9494 bias | 1.0000 - -2.8452 bias | 3.0000 - 2.2893 bias | ||||||||||||||

TOTAL | 44.588255 | 40.869225 | 3.513468 | 0.460359 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |