Poll Average Details- WI US President - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersDonald Trump Ted CruzGary Johnson Jill Stein Monica Moorehead Write-In Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Chris Keniston Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Cherunda Fox Marshall Schoenke
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   44.0000 - 2.3995 bias 42.0000 - -2.7710 bias 7.0000 - 3.8477 bias 4.0000 - 2.3758 bias                          
Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 4.1538 bias 40.0000 - 1.7940 bias                              
Gravis Marketing11/6X 0.98333   47.0000 - 0.7560 bias 44.0000 - 0.5484 bias 3.0000 - 1.7092 bias 1.0000 - 1.4639 bias                          
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   42.2000 - 1.3621 bias 37.7000 - 0.0717 bias 4.6000 - 3.6731 bias 2.6000 - 1.4484 bias                          
Clarity Campaign Labs11/2X 0.91667   47.0000 - 4.0990 bias 43.0000 - -1.3326 bias 4.0000 - 1.2509 bias 1.0000 - 0.0086 bias                          
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   49.0000 - 1.6114 bias 41.0000 - -0.8071 bias 3.0000 - 0.3321 bias                            
Loras College11/1X 0.90000   44.0000 - 3.1867 bias 38.0000 - -1.2295 bias 7.0000 - 0.8422 bias 2.0000 - 1.5194 bias                          
Public Policy Polling11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - 0.9088 bias 41.0000 - 0.0973 bias                              
Marquette University Law School10/31X 0.88333   46.0000 - 1.2612 bias 40.0000 - 0.4840 bias                              
Emerson College10/27X 0.81667   48.0000 - 0.7363 bias 42.0000 - 0.7826 bias 9.0000 - 1.4516 bias 0.0000 - 1.6142 bias                          
McLaughlin & Associates (R)10/20X 0.70000   48.0000 - -3.4361 bias 43.0000 - 4.1073 bias 4.0000 - 0.8187 bias                            
Monmouth University10/18X 0.66667   47.0000 - 1.2762 bias 40.0000 - -0.3486 bias 6.0000 - 1.1165 bias 1.0000 - 0.3957 bias                          
St. Norbert College10/16X 0.63333   47.0000 - 2.4120 bias 39.0000 - -0.9494 bias 1.0000 - -2.8452 bias 3.0000 - 2.2893 bias                          
TOTAL 44.588255 40.869225 3.513468 0.460359 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000