Poll Average Details- VT US President - 2016-11-08 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Jill Stein	Gary Johnson	Bernie Sanders	Gloria E. La Riva	John Kasich	Write-In	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		61.0000 - 2.6000 bias	25.0000 - -2.2024 bias	6.0000 - 2.3756 bias	6.0000 - 3.8473 bias
YouGov	11/6	X 0.98333		40.5000 - 1.4134 bias	24.5000 - 0.0288 bias	5.0000 - 1.3922 bias	3.4000 - 3.6071 bias
Red Racing Horses (R)	10/26	X 0.80000		52.0000 - 0.0404 bias	26.0000 - -0.0966 bias	2.0000 - 0.5375 bias	5.0000 - 2.0525 bias
Braun Research	10/22	X 0.73333		50.0000 - 3.9753 bias	22.0000 - -4.2424 bias	5.0000 - 3.8074 bias	7.0000 - 2.5181 bias
Castleton Polling Institute	10/14	X 0.60000		45.0000 - 8.2880 bias	17.0000 - -7.2674 bias	3.0000 - 2.2029 bias	4.0000 - 2.5984 bias
TOTAL				47.169591	25.736330	2.355037	2.048924	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000