Poll Average Details- NC US President - 2016-11-08 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Gary JohnsonJill Stein Write-In
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   41.0000 - -2.2024 bias 48.0000 - 2.6000 bias 7.0000 - 3.8473 bias    
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   41.3000 - 0.0288 bias 43.5000 - 1.4134 bias 4.8000 - 3.6071 bias 1.0000 - 1.3922 bias  
Pulse Opinion Research11/6X 0.98333   43.0000 - 1.6194 bias 49.0000 - -0.2544 bias 4.0000 - 1.8488 bias 2.0000 - 1.8726 bias  
Siena Research Institute11/6X 0.98333   44.0000 - -0.0165 bias 44.0000 - 0.4840 bias 3.0000 - 1.3635 bias    
Quinnipiac University11/6X 0.98333   45.0000 - -0.2682 bias 47.0000 - 1.0754 bias 3.0000 - 2.4881 bias    
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   47.0000 - 0.8563 bias 46.0000 - 3.1158 bias      
Gravis Marketing11/4X 0.95000   45.0000 - 0.2608 bias 46.0000 - 1.1590 bias 3.0000 - 1.7089 bias 2.0000 - 1.4635 bias  
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   48.0000 - -0.4438 bias 45.0000 - 0.8599 bias 3.0000 - 0.4208 bias    
Public Policy Polling11/1X 0.90000   47.0000 - -0.1800 bias 49.0000 - 1.1680 bias      
Trafalgar Group11/1X 0.90000   49.1300 - 1.8988 bias 44.1600 - -1.6435 bias 3.5900 - 0.8790 bias 0.4900 - 0.4166 bias  
Survey USA10/31X 0.88333   51.0000 - 0.3265 bias 44.0000 - 0.5274 bias 3.0000 - 1.3296 bias    
Elon University10/27X 0.81667   41.0000 - 0.1034 bias 42.0000 - 1.4284 bias 3.0000 - -0.1425 bias    
Emerson College10/27X 0.81667   45.0000 - 0.6906 bias 48.0000 - 0.8084 bias 4.0000 - 1.2130 bias    
Marist Institute10/26X 0.80000   41.0000 - -0.4397 bias 47.0000 - 0.7635 bias 8.0000 - 4.1685 bias    
Monmouth University10/23X 0.75000   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 47.0000 - 1.9679 bias 4.0000 - 0.8035 bias    
Lucid10/18X 0.66667   41.0000 - -2.8535 bias 42.0000 - 2.1557 bias 8.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias  
Civitas Institute (R)10/16X 0.63333   42.0000 - -1.8372 bias 44.0000 - 1.5441 bias 5.0000 - 1.4738 bias    
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/15X 0.61667   47.0000 - 0.4312 bias 48.0000 - 0.8608 bias 4.0000 - 2.2808 bias    
Suffolk University10/12X 0.56667   43.0000 - -2.1317 bias 45.0000 - 1.6356 bias      
High Point University10/6X 0.46667   42.0000 - -1.6580 bias 43.0000 - -0.0133 bias 8.0000 - 3.3889 bias 4.0000 - 3.8684 bias  
Selzer & Co.10/2X 0.40000   43.0000 - -0.2736 bias 44.0000 - 1.0019 bias 6.0000 - 2.3909 bias 2.0000 - 1.6396 bias  
Meredith College9/22X 0.23333   35.0000 - -1.9836 bias 38.0000 - 3.6941 bias      
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News9/20X 0.20000   45.0000 - -0.5021 bias 40.0000 - 1.0608 bias 8.0000 - 1.4422 bias    
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)9/19X 0.18333   40.0000 - -1.6043 bias 44.0000 - 2.2053 bias 9.0000 - 3.5717 bias 4.0000 - 2.3878 bias  
TOTAL 44.647435 44.351694 2.473747 0.166535 0.000000