Poll Average Details- NM US President - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Ted CruzGary Johnson Jill Stein Gloria E. La Riva Darrell L. Castle Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   40.0000 - 2.6000 bias 38.0000 - -2.2024 bias 16.0000 - 3.8473 bias 4.0000 - 2.3756 bias        
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   41.0000 - 3.1158 bias 38.0000 - 0.8563 bias            
Zia Poll11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - -2.0984 bias 44.0000 - 3.1080 bias 6.0000 - -3.1517 bias 1.0000 - -0.2065 bias        
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   41.7000 - 1.4134 bias 34.6000 - 0.0288 bias 11.4000 - 3.6071 bias 2.6000 - 1.3922 bias        
Research & Polling Inc. (Albuquerque Journal)11/3X 0.93333   45.0000 - 0.0906 bias 40.0000 - 0.0183 bias 11.0000 - 0.4081 bias 3.0000 - -0.0716 bias        
Gravis Marketing11/2X 0.91667   45.0000 - 1.1590 bias 37.0000 - 0.2608 bias 11.0000 - 1.7089 bias 3.0000 - 1.4635 bias        
Lucid11/1X 0.90000   39.0000 - 2.1557 bias 31.0000 - -2.8535 bias 22.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias        
Survey USA10/3X 0.41667   46.0000 - 0.5274 bias 33.0000 - 0.3265 bias 14.0000 - 1.3296 bias 2.0000 - 1.0702 bias        
TOTAL 41.560823 37.378241 10.917526 1.435258 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000