Poll Average Details- NM US President - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald Trump Ted CruzGary Johnson Jill Stein Gloria E. La Riva Darrell L. Castle Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   40.0000 - 2.3995 bias 38.0000 - -2.7710 bias 16.0000 - 3.8477 bias 4.0000 - 2.3758 bias        
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   41.0000 - -5.4077 bias 38.0000 - -6.3315 bias            
Zia Poll11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - -1.9683 bias 44.0000 - 2.8715 bias 6.0000 - -3.1517 bias 1.0000 - -0.2065 bias        
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   41.7000 - 1.3621 bias 34.6000 - 0.0717 bias 11.4000 - 3.6731 bias 2.6000 - 1.4484 bias        
Research & Polling Inc. (Albuquerque Journal)11/3X 0.93333   45.0000 - -0.2428 bias 40.0000 - 0.3217 bias 11.0000 - 0.4141 bias 3.0000 - -0.0716 bias        
Gravis Marketing11/2X 0.91667   45.0000 - 0.7560 bias 37.0000 - 0.5484 bias 11.0000 - 1.7092 bias 3.0000 - 1.4639 bias        
Lucid11/1X 0.90000   39.0000 - 2.5143 bias 31.0000 - -3.2437 bias 22.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias        
Survey USA10/3X 0.41667   46.0000 - 0.4044 bias 33.0000 - 0.3780 bias 14.0000 - 1.3866 bias 2.0000 - 1.1303 bias        
TOTAL 42.813313 38.447546 10.902049 1.422072 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000