Poll Average Details- MO US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton	Gary Johnson	Jill Stein	Darrell L. Castle Uncommitted	Laurence Kotlikoff	Tom Hoefling	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	Evan McMullin	Marshall Schoenke
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		48.0000 - -2.2024 bias	40.0000 - 2.6000 bias	8.0000 - 3.8473 bias	3.0000 - 2.3756 bias
YouGov	11/6	X 0.98333		43.3000 - 0.0288 bias	35.8000 - 1.4134 bias	5.4000 - 3.6071 bias	2.6000 - 1.3922 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	11/6	X 0.98333		48.0000 - 0.8563 bias	40.0000 - 3.1158 bias
Emerson College	11/5	X 0.96667		47.0000 - 0.6906 bias	41.0000 - 0.8084 bias	7.0000 - 1.2130 bias	2.0000 - 1.4786 bias
Clarity Campaign Labs	11/2	X 0.91667		54.0000 - -1.3124 bias	38.0000 - 3.9429 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/2	X 0.91667		50.0000 - -0.1800 bias	37.0000 - 1.1680 bias	4.0000 - 1.4191 bias	2.0000 - 0.9532 bias
DFM Research	11/1	X 0.90000		47.0000 - -4.0899 bias	38.0000 - 4.5836 bias	3.0000 - 2.3523 bias	1.0000 - 0.1557 bias
Remington Research	11/1	X 0.90000		51.0000 - -0.4438 bias	39.0000 - 0.8599 bias	4.0000 - 0.4208 bias	1.0000 - 0.4244 bias	1.0000 - 0.6425 bias
Monmouth University	10/31	X 0.88333		52.0000 - -0.9091 bias	38.0000 - 1.9679 bias	4.0000 - 0.8035 bias	2.0000 - 0.1881 bias
BK Strategies	10/28	X 0.83333		53.0000 - 3.2404 bias	39.0000 - 0.5602 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/26	X 0.80000		47.0000 - 0.8543 bias	42.0000 - 0.4277 bias	3.0000 - 0.2403 bias	1.0000 - -0.3342 bias
TOTAL				49.386159	36.884633	3.089958	0.982509	0.357500	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000