Poll Average Details- MA US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpGary Johnson Jill Stein No PreferenceMonica Moorehead Write-In William B. Feegbeh Laurence Kotlikoff Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   56.0000 - 2.6000 bias 30.0000 - -2.2024 bias 6.0000 - 3.8473 bias 4.0000 - 2.7333 bias          
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   53.0000 - 3.1158 bias 36.0000 - 0.8563 bias              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   51.3000 - 1.4134 bias 28.6000 - 0.0288 bias 4.9000 - 3.6071 bias 2.5000 - 1.4303 bias          
Western New England University11/2X 0.91667   56.0000 - -0.3485 bias 26.0000 - -0.5328 bias 8.0000 - 4.4513 bias 3.0000 - 2.8684 bias          
Suffolk University10/26X 0.80000   57.0000 - 1.6356 bias 25.0000 - -2.1317 bias 4.0000 - 1.1435 bias 3.0000 - 1.6218 bias          
MassINC Polling Group10/16X 0.63333   54.0000 - -0.0957 bias 28.0000 - 0.8107 bias 7.0000 - 4.5907 bias 3.0000 - 1.8275 bias          
University of Massachusetts9/20X 0.20000   47.0000 - 1.2969 bias 34.0000 - -1.1910 bias 9.0000 - 1.6304 bias 3.0000 - 1.4857 bias          
TOTAL 52.722688 29.934846 2.638685 1.011884 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000