Poll Average Details- ME US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Gary Johnson	Jill Stein	Darrell L. Castle	Laurence Kotlikoff	Evan McMullin	Cherunda Fox
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		46.0000 - 2.6000 bias	38.0000 - -2.2024 bias	10.0000 - 3.8473 bias	5.0000 - 3.1451 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	11/6	X 0.98333		42.0000 - 3.1158 bias	35.0000 - 0.8563 bias
YouGov	11/6	X 0.98333		38.7000 - 1.4134 bias	34.0000 - 0.0288 bias	8.5000 - 3.6071 bias	3.8000 - 2.5652 bias
Emerson College	10/30	X 0.86667		46.0000 - 0.8084 bias	42.0000 - 0.6906 bias	5.0000 - 1.2130 bias	1.0000 - -0.5647 bias
Maine People's Resource Center	10/26	X 0.80000		41.6000 - 1.4728 bias	37.2000 - -1.8969 bias	8.6000 - 3.4797 bias	3.7000 - 2.1535 bias
University of New Hampshire	10/25	X 0.78333		48.0000 - 2.6652 bias	37.0000 - -2.2994 bias	5.0000 - 0.3437 bias	3.0000 - 0.9624 bias
Survey USA	9/10	X 0.03333		42.0000 - 0.5274 bias	39.0000 - 0.3265 bias	9.0000 - 1.3296 bias	5.0000 - 2.1113 bias
TOTAL				41.552987	37.859578	4.980330	1.646598	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000