Poll Average Details- IA US President - 2016-11-08 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald Trump Donald TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Evan McMullin Gloria E. La Riva Dan R. Vacek Write-In Darrell L. Castle Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Lynn S. Kahn
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   47.0000 - -2.2023 bias 38.0000 - 2.5998 bias 9.0000 - 3.8473 bias 3.0000 - 2.3756 bias              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   37.3000 - 0.0142 bias 40.4000 - 1.4293 bias 5.6000 - 3.6133 bias 1.6000 - 1.3922 bias              
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   44.0000 - 0.8539 bias 44.0000 - 3.1139 bias                  
Selzer & Co.11/4X 0.95000   46.0000 - -0.5569 bias 39.0000 - 1.2864 bias 6.0000 - 2.4463 bias 1.0000 - 1.6396 bias              
Loras College11/3X 0.93333   43.0000 - -1.2295 bias 44.0000 - 3.1867 bias 3.0000 - 0.8422 bias 3.0000 - 1.5194 bias              
Emerson College11/3X 0.93333   44.0000 - 0.6280 bias 41.3000 - 1.1763 bias 5.2000 - 1.4509 bias 4.3000 - 1.6139 bias              
RABA Research11/2X 0.91667   44.0000 - -4.0208 bias 41.0000 - 4.8380 bias 5.0000 - 1.5398 bias 2.0000 - 1.3947 bias 2.0000 - 1.3380 bias            
Quinnipiac University10/26X 0.80000   44.0000 - -0.2103 bias 44.0000 - 1.0253 bias 4.0000 - 2.4881 bias 1.0000 - 1.1538 bias              
Lucid10/10X 0.53333   36.0000 - -3.2437 bias 41.0000 - 2.5143 bias 10.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias              
Monmouth University9/14X 0.10000   45.0000 - -0.9087 bias 37.0000 - 1.9539 bias 8.0000 - 0.8035 bias 2.0000 - 0.1881 bias              
TOTAL 44.162984 38.957428 3.254221 0.672314 0.662000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000