Poll Average Details- IN US President - 2016-11-08 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Richard A. Duncan Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Cherunda Fox Denny Carroll Jackson Ray C. Brown Melissa Kelly G. Richard Mullis Matthew Roberts
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   52.0000 - -2.2024 bias 35.0000 - 2.6000 bias 10.0000 - 3.8473 bias                            
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   54.0000 - 0.8563 bias 38.0000 - 3.1158 bias                              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   43.8000 - 0.0288 bias 36.6000 - 1.4134 bias 5.8000 - 3.6071 bias 1.2000 - 1.3922 bias                          
Public Opinion Strategies (R)11/3X 0.93333   48.0000 - 2.6066 bias 37.0000 - -1.2825 bias 9.0000 - 2.4568 bias                            
Gravis Marketing11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - 0.2608 bias 39.0000 - 1.1590 bias 5.0000 - 1.7089 bias                            
Monmouth University10/30X 0.86667   50.0000 - -0.9091 bias 39.0000 - 1.9679 bias 4.0000 - 0.8035 bias                            
Ball State University10/16X 0.63333   43.0000 - -8.5008 bias 37.0000 - 3.6620 bias 9.0000 - 5.2238 bias                            
Lucid10/10X 0.53333   43.0000 - -2.8535 bias 37.0000 - 2.1557 bias 10.0000 - 5.9289 bias 3.0000 - 1.8425 bias                          
TOTAL 49.306551 35.543761 4.224132 0.282420 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000