[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Gary Johnson | Jill Stein | Evan McMullin | Gloria E. La Riva | Kyle Kenley Kopitke | Frank Atwood | Alyson Kennedy | Bruce E. Lohmiller | James Hedges | Darrell L. Castle | Bradford Lyttle | Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik | Laurence Kotlikoff | Tom Hoefling | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | Chris Keniston | Joseph A. "Joe Exotic" Maldonado | Ryan Alan Scott | Rod Silva | Michael A. Maturen | Mike Smith | Cherunda Fox | Thomas Joseph Nieman | David Perry | Corey Sterner | Brian Anthony Perry |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

SurveyMonkey | 11/7 | X 1.00000 | 43.0000 - 2.3995 bias | 40.0000 - -2.7710 bias | 10.0000 - 3.8477 bias | 4.0000 - 2.3758 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

YouGov | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 42.0000 - 1.3621 bias | 36.9000 - 0.0717 bias | 6.1000 - 3.6731 bias | 2.3000 - 1.4484 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Gravis Marketing | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 44.0000 - 0.7560 bias | 43.0000 - 0.5484 bias | 5.0000 - 1.7092 bias | 2.0000 - 1.4639 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Ipsos | 11/6 | X 0.98333 | 48.0000 - 4.1538 bias | 42.0000 - 1.7940 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||

Public Policy Polling | 11/4 | X 0.95000 | 48.0000 - 0.9088 bias | 43.0000 - 0.0973 bias | 4.0000 - 1.0035 bias | 2.0000 - 1.0282 bias | 1.0000 - -0.1027 bias | ||||||||||||||||||||||||

Trafalgar Group | 11/3 | X 0.93333 | 44.7700 - -1.3560 bias | 44.3300 - 2.0875 bias | 5.0400 - -0.0832 bias | 3.8700 - 0.4166 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Keating Research (D) | 11/3 | X 0.93333 | 43.0000 - 2.1496 bias | 38.0000 - -0.6195 bias | 7.0000 - 2.7937 bias | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||

Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) | 11/2 | X 0.91667 | 44.0000 - -0.5209 bias | 38.0000 - 0.4956 bias | 7.0000 - 1.3095 bias | 2.0000 - 2.1484 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Remington Research | 11/2 | X 0.91667 | 42.0000 - 1.6114 bias | 41.0000 - -0.8071 bias | 6.0000 - 0.3321 bias | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||

Lucid | 11/1 | X 0.90000 | 44.0000 - 2.5143 bias | 37.0000 - -3.2437 bias | 9.0000 - 5.9289 bias | 3.0000 - 1.8425 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

University of Denver | 10/31 | X 0.88333 | 39.0000 - 0.4551 bias | 39.0000 - 2.2003 bias | 5.0000 - 0.5634 bias | 4.0000 - 3.2152 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Emerson College | 10/31 | X 0.88333 | 44.0000 - 0.7363 bias | 41.0000 - 0.7826 bias | 8.0000 - 1.4516 bias | 4.0000 - 1.6142 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

University of Colorado | 10/24 | X 0.76667 | 44.0000 - 3.8356 bias | 34.0000 - -3.8204 bias | 9.0000 - 4.7064 bias | 4.0000 - 3.0131 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Quinnipiac University | 10/16 | X 0.63333 | 45.0000 - 0.3688 bias | 37.0000 - 0.1363 bias | 10.0000 - 2.3682 bias | 3.0000 - 1.1538 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Monmouth University | 10/2 | X 0.40000 | 49.0000 - 1.2762 bias | 38.0000 - -0.3486 bias | 7.0000 - 1.1165 bias | 3.0000 - 0.3957 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) | 9/25 | X 0.28333 | 41.0000 - 0.8611 bias | 42.0000 - 0.4310 bias | 13.0000 - 2.2808 bias | 3.0000 - 1.3465 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

Colorado Mesa University | 9/18 | X 0.16667 | 41.0000 - 2.7943 bias | 34.0000 - -4.1571 bias | 12.0000 - 4.2133 bias | 3.0000 - 0.9538 bias | |||||||||||||||||||||||||

TOTAL | 42.572513 | 39.896451 | 4.868753 | 1.368365 | 1.102700 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |