Poll Average Details- AR US President - 2016-11-08 19:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald Trump Donald TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein James Hedges Darrell L. Castle Lynn S. Kahn Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   56.0000 - -2.7710 bias 32.0000 - 2.3995 bias 6.0000 - 3.8477 bias 3.0000 - 2.3758 bias        
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.0717 bias 30.5000 - 1.3621 bias 5.3000 - 3.6731 bias 3.1000 - 1.4484 bias        
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   53.0000 - -6.3315 bias 38.0000 - -5.4077 bias            
University of Arkansas10/25X 0.78333   51.0000 - 0.3188 bias 31.0000 - 3.3421 bias            
Talk Business10/21X 0.71667   56.0000 - -0.5300 bias 32.5000 - -0.6692 bias 3.5000 - 0.7527 bias 2.0000 - 1.4113 bias        
Emerson College9/13X 0.08333   57.0000 - 0.7826 bias 29.0000 - 0.7363 bias 5.0000 - 1.4516 bias 3.0000 - 1.6142 bias        
TOTAL 54.756343 32.687677 2.161683 1.000835 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000