Poll Average Details- AL US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Joe Biden Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John McCain Jeb Bush Mike Pence Bernie Sanders Paul Ryan Mitt Romney Condoleezza Rice Marco A. Rubio Tim Kaine John Kasich Newt Gingrich Write-In Rand Paul Ben Carson Ted Cruz Evan McMullin Cliven Bundy Jill Stein
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   55.0000 - -2.2024 bias 36.0000 - 2.6000 bias 6.0000 - 3.7942 bias                                         2.0000 - 3.7942 bias
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   54.0000 - 0.8563 bias 38.0000 - 3.1158 bias                                            
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   52.6000 - 0.0288 bias 31.6000 - 1.4134 bias 3.8000 - 1.2001 bias                                         0.9000 - 1.2001 bias
Strategy Research9/27X 0.31667   48.0000 - 0.8298 bias 32.0000 - 0.2337 bias                                            
TOTAL 53.632269 32.724553 2.401194 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -1.053428