Poll Average Details- LA US President - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Gloria E. La Riva Jerome "Jerry" White Alyson Kennedy Darrell L. Castle Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Chris Keniston Evan McMullin Princess Khadijah M. Jacob-Fambro
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   52.0000 - -2.2024 bias 38.0000 - 2.6000 bias 4.0000 - 3.8473 bias 2.0000 - 2.3756 bias                  
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   52.0000 - 0.8563 bias 36.0000 - 3.1158 bias                      
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   47.3000 - 0.0288 bias 35.9000 - 1.4134 bias 5.2000 - 3.6071 bias 1.5000 - 1.3922 bias                  
Southern Media & Opinion10/21X 0.71667   50.0000 - 1.0539 bias 35.0000 - 0.2495 bias 5.0000 - 3.6838 bias                    
University of New Orleans10/21X 0.71667   49.0000 - 0.2013 bias 35.0000 - 0.3227 bias 7.0000 - 5.6552 bias 2.0000 - 1.4590 bias                  
Lucid10/21X 0.71667   43.0000 - -2.8535 bias 40.0000 - 2.1557 bias 6.0000 - 5.9289 bias 4.0000 - 1.8425 bias                  
Mason-Dixon10/19X 0.68333   54.0000 - 0.8543 bias 34.0000 - 0.4277 bias 2.0000 - 0.2403 bias 1.0000 - -0.3342 bias                  
JMC Analytics and Polling10/15X 0.61667   45.0000 - 0.1423 bias 38.0000 - 0.1622 bias 4.0000 - 1.6181 bias 1.0000 - 0.6849 bias                  
Market Research Insight9/30X 0.36667   52.0000 - -0.5645 bias 35.0000 - 2.1422 bias                      
TOTAL 49.701419 34.916246 1.168409 0.587352 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000