Poll Average Details- TX US President - R Primary - 2016-03-01 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ted Cruz Ted CruzDonald J. Trump Ted CruzMarco Rubio Ted CruzBen Carson Ted CruzJohn Kasich Ted CruzJeb Bush Ted CruzLindsey Graham Ted CruzMike Huckabee Ted CruzRick Santorum Ted CruzChris Christie Ted Cruz Uncommitted Ted CruzRand Paul Ted CruzCarly Fiorina Ted CruzElizabeth Gray Ted Cruz
SurveyMonkey2/29X 1.00000   33.0000 31.0000 19.0000 9.0000 5.0000                  
Emerson College2/28X 0.98333   35.0000 32.0000 16.0000 4.0000 9.0000                  
American Research Group2/28X 0.98333   33.0000 32.0000 17.0000 6.8000 7.0000                  
Monmouth University2/24X 0.91667   38.0000 23.0000 21.0000 6.0000 5.0000                  
Marist Institute2/23X 0.90000   39.0000 26.0000 16.0000 8.0000 6.0000                  
Survey USA2/22X 0.88333   32.0000 32.0000 17.0000 5.0000 6.0000                  
Dixie Strategies2/22X 0.88333   33.2400 24.8300 14.7600 5.7900 8.0000                  
University of Houston2/22X 0.88333   35.0000 20.0000 8.0000 7.0000 4.0000 5.0000                
YouGov2/19X 0.83333   37.0000 29.0000 15.0000 4.0000 5.0000 6.0000                
TOTAL 34.981290 27.876996 16.055000 6.213851 6.143145 5.485437 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000