Poll Average Details- OH US President - 2016-11-08 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson Jill Stein John McCain Mike Pence Monica Moorehead Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner Darrell L. Castle Bruce E. Jaynes Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Chris Keniston Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Mike Smith Cherunda Fox Ben Hartnell James Jerome Bell Michael Bickelmeyer Barry Kirschner Josiah R. Stroh Douglas W. Thomson Richard A. Duncan
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   45.0000 - -2.2024 bias 42.0000 - 2.6000 bias 7.0000 - 3.7942 bias 3.0000 - 2.3756 bias                                          
Gravis Marketing11/6X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.2608 bias 42.0000 - 1.1590 bias 4.0000 - 4.9728 bias 1.0000 - 1.4635 bias                                          
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   41.5000 - 0.0288 bias 43.2000 - 1.4134 bias 4.4000 - 1.2001 bias 1.7000 - 1.3922 bias                                          
Pulse Opinion Research11/6X 0.98333   43.0000 - 1.6194 bias 44.0000 - -0.2544 bias 5.0000 - 0.7995 bias 1.0000 - 1.8726 bias                                          
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 0.8563 bias 47.0000 - 3.1158 bias                                              
Emerson College11/5X 0.96667   46.0000 - 0.6906 bias 39.0000 - 0.8084 bias 7.0000 - 0.7151 bias 3.0000 - 1.4786 bias                                          
Columbus Dispatch11/5X 0.96667   47.0000 - -1.5633 bias 48.0000 - 2.1707 bias                                              
William & Mary College11/3X 0.93333   43.0000 - -3.0192 bias 40.0000 - 1.6514 bias 8.0000 - bias 3.0000 - 1.1265 bias                                          
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   45.0000 - -0.4438 bias 44.0000 - 0.8599 bias 4.0000 - 1.8659 bias                                            
Quinnipiac University11/1X 0.90000   46.0000 - -0.2682 bias 41.0000 - 1.0754 bias 5.0000 - 4.3101 bias 2.0000 - 1.2442 bias                                          
Trafalgar Group10/26X 0.80000   48.5400 - 1.8988 bias 44.1500 - -1.6435 bias 1.8900 - 1.9277 bias 0.4700 - 0.4166 bias                                          
Suffolk University10/19X 0.68333   44.8000 - -2.1317 bias 44.6000 - 1.6356 bias 2.4000 - 1.6824 bias 0.8000 - 0.4664 bias                                         0.6000 - 1.6824 bias
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/15X 0.61667   48.0000 - 0.4312 bias 44.0000 - 0.8608 bias 4.0000 - 4.8590 bias 2.0000 - 1.3465 bias                                          
University of Akron10/13X 0.58333   37.0000 - 1.9352 bias 41.0000 - -1.3826 bias 6.0000 - bias 1.0000 - 0.3346 bias                                          
Marist Institute10/12X 0.56667   42.0000 - -0.4397 bias 41.0000 - 0.7635 bias 9.0000 - 3.3151 bias 4.0000 - 2.5135 bias                                          
Baldwin Wallace University10/11X 0.55000   34.0000 - -4.6995 bias 43.0000 - 3.7908 bias 10.0000 - 0.1070 bias 3.0000 - 0.8803 bias                                          
Lucid10/10X 0.53333   39.0000 - -2.8535 bias 44.0000 - 2.1557 bias 7.0000 - bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias                                          
Public Policy Polling10/6X 0.46667   43.0000 - -0.1800 bias 44.0000 - 1.1680 bias 5.0000 - 2.9345 bias 2.0000 - 0.9532 bias                                          
Monmouth University10/4X 0.43333   42.0000 - -0.9091 bias 44.0000 - 1.9679 bias 5.0000 - 0.6269 bias                                            
ALG Research (D)10/2X 0.40000   42.0000 - -2.9971 bias 44.0000 - 4.2434 bias   1.0000 - 1.4966 bias                                          
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News9/20X 0.20000   42.0000 - -0.5021 bias 37.0000 - 1.0608 bias 6.0000 - 1.3894 bias 2.0000 - 0.5107 bias                                          
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)9/19X 0.18333   41.0000 - -1.6043 bias 39.0000 - 2.2053 bias 11.0000 - 4.5188 bias 4.0000 - 2.3878 bias                                          
Selzer & Co.9/12X 0.06667   44.0000 - -0.2736 bias 39.0000 - 1.0019 bias 10.0000 - 0.7408 bias 3.0000 - 1.6396 bias                                          
TOTAL 44.575462 41.680466 3.524978 0.616189 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -1.082400