Poll Average Details- CA US President - 2016-11-08 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Barbara Joy WaymireJill Stein Kent P. MesplayGloria E. La Riva Lynn S. KahnBernie Sanders Jerome "Jerry" White Laurence Kotlikoff Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   56.0000 - 2.3995 bias 31.0000 - -2.7710 bias 6.0000 - 3.8477 bias 5.0000 - 2.3758 bias            
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   59.0000 - -5.4077 bias 32.0000 - -6.3315 bias                
Insights West11/6X 0.98333   54.0000 - 0.5620 bias 32.0000 - 1.7475 bias 3.0000 - 0.4888 bias 2.0000 - 0.1406 bias            
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   51.8000 - 1.3621 bias 30.4000 - 0.0717 bias 4.2000 - 3.6731 bias 2.6000 - 1.4484 bias            
Survey USA10/31X 0.88333   56.0000 - 0.4044 bias 35.0000 - 0.3780 bias 4.0000 - 1.3866 bias 1.0000 - 1.1303 bias            
Field Poll10/31X 0.88333   53.0000 - 1.9551 bias 33.0000 - 1.3589 bias 4.0000 - 0.9270 bias 3.0000 - 2.8029 bias            
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)10/30X 0.86667   54.0000 - 2.1752 bias 30.0000 - -1.5423 bias 3.0000 - 3.5727 bias 4.0000 - 2.3937 bias 0.0000 - -0.4661 bias          
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)10/23X 0.75000   54.0000 - 0.5676 bias 28.0000 - 3.1774 bias 5.0000 - 2.0607 bias 5.0000 - 3.4699 bias            
Sacramento State University10/13X 0.58333   61.0000 - 1.2883 bias 25.0000 - -4.7354 bias 4.0000 - 0.9270 bias 3.0000 - 1.2609 bias            
TOTAL 54.707297 31.941022 1.970693 1.326663 0.466100 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000