Poll Average Details- KY US President - 2016-11-08 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Jerome "Jerry" White Richard A. Duncan Darrell L. Castle Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Sheila "Samm" Tittle Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Chris Keniston Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Michael A. Maturen Mike Smith Cherunda Fox Marshall Schoenke Ben Hartnell Denny Carroll Jackson Craig Ellis Timothy Allen Stevens Scott Cubbler Richard Turner Luesing, Jr. David Perry Roy Allen "Santa" Clark William Martin Ling Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   54.0000 - -2.2024 bias 35.0000 - 2.6000 bias 6.0000 - 3.8473 bias 4.0000 - 2.3756 bias                                              
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   58.0000 - 0.8563 bias 38.0000 - 3.1158 bias                                                  
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   52.2000 - 0.0288 bias 32.2000 - 1.4134 bias 3.6000 - 3.6071 bias 1.7000 - 1.3922 bias                                              
Western Kentucky University10/30X 0.86667   54.0000 - -5.1846 bias 37.0000 - 4.6649 bias 1.0000 - 0.3120 bias 1.0000 - 0.3408 bias                                             1.0000 - 1.9164 bias
Cygnal (R)10/28X 0.83333   56.3000 - 0.1689 bias 32.4000 - 0.0766 bias                                                  
Google Surveys9/14X 0.10000   31.8000 - -9.5158 bias 28.4000 - 4.7935 bias 5.7000 - 5.3261 bias 4.3000 - 5.4023 bias                                              
TOTAL 55.782420 32.369970 0.942161 0.809541 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.916400