Poll Average Details- PA US President - R Primary - 2016-04-26 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald Trump Donald TrumpTed Cruz Donald TrumpJohn Kasich Donald TrumpJeb Bush Donald TrumpMarco Rubio Donald TrumpBen Carson Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling4/24X 1.00000   51.0000 25.0000 22.0000      
American Research Group4/24X 1.00000   50.0000 23.0000 21.0000      
YouGov4/22X 0.96667   49.0000 26.0000 22.0000      
Marist Institute4/20X 0.93333   45.0000 27.0000 24.0000      
Franklin & Marshall College4/18X 0.90000   40.0000 26.0000 24.0000      
Muhlenberg College4/12X 0.80000   41.0000 23.0000 26.0000      
Monmouth University4/12X 0.80000   44.0000 28.0000 23.0000      
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News4/7X 0.71667   48.0000 20.0000 22.0000      
Quinnipiac University4/4X 0.66667   39.0000 30.0000 24.0000      
TOTAL 45.580300 25.293362 23.027837 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000