Poll Average Details- PA US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpGary Johnson Jill Stein Darrell L. Castle Bernie Sanders John Kasich Write-In Lynn S. Kahn Evan McMullin
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   46.0000 - 2.6000 bias 43.0000 - -2.2024 bias 6.0000 - 3.8473 bias 3.0000 - 2.3756 bias            
Gravis Marketing11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 1.1590 bias 40.0000 - 0.2608 bias 7.0000 - 1.7089 bias 2.0000 - 1.4635 bias            
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   48.0000 - 3.1158 bias 45.0000 - 0.8563 bias                
Pulse Opinion Research11/6X 0.98333   44.0000 - -0.2544 bias 46.0000 - 1.6194 bias 3.0000 - 1.8488 bias 2.0000 - 1.8726 bias            
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   42.7000 - 1.4134 bias 41.2000 - 0.0288 bias 3.8000 - 3.6071 bias 1.9000 - 1.3922 bias            
Clarity Campaign Labs11/4X 0.95000   47.0000 - 3.9429 bias 43.0000 - -1.3124 bias 4.0000 - 1.2509 bias              
Muhlenberg College11/4X 0.95000   44.0000 - -0.6942 bias 40.0000 - 1.6290 bias 7.0000 - 2.6586 bias 2.0000 - 1.3405 bias            
Harper Polling11/3X 0.93333   46.0000 - 1.2618 bias 46.0000 - -3.1660 bias 2.0000 - 1.6639 bias 1.0000 - -0.9413 bias            
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   46.0000 - 0.8599 bias 45.0000 - -0.4438 bias 4.0000 - 0.4208 bias              
Quinnipiac University11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - 1.0754 bias 43.0000 - -0.2682 bias 3.0000 - 2.4881 bias 3.0000 - 1.2442 bias            
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - 0.8608 bias 44.0000 - 0.4312 bias 4.0000 - 2.2808 bias 2.0000 - 1.3465 bias            
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)11/1X 0.90000   45.0000 - 1.4286 bias 43.0000 - -1.1849 bias 2.0000 - 1.6868 bias 2.0000 - 0.8891 bias 0.1400 - -0.1979 bias          
Monmouth University11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - 1.9679 bias 44.0000 - -0.9091 bias 3.0000 - 0.8035 bias 1.0000 - 0.1881 bias            
Public Policy Polling11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - 1.1680 bias 44.0000 - -0.1800 bias                
Franklin & Marshall College10/30X 0.86667   49.0000 - 0.8112 bias 38.0000 - -0.8927 bias 4.0000 - 0.3915 bias 2.0000 - 1.0238 bias            
Emerson College10/26X 0.80000   48.0000 - 0.8084 bias 43.0000 - 0.6906 bias 6.0000 - 1.2130 bias              
Siena Research Institute10/25X 0.78333   46.0000 - 0.4840 bias 39.0000 - -0.0165 bias 6.0000 - 1.3635 bias 3.0000 - 1.4547 bias            
Selzer & Co.10/11X 0.55000   48.0000 - 1.0019 bias 39.0000 - -0.2736 bias 6.0000 - 2.3909 bias 4.0000 - 1.6396 bias            
Lucid10/10X 0.53333   47.0000 - 2.1557 bias 38.0000 - -2.8535 bias 7.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias            
Marist Institute10/6X 0.46667   49.0000 - 0.7635 bias 37.0000 - -0.4397 bias 6.0000 - 4.1685 bias 4.0000 - 2.5135 bias            
Mercyhurst College9/23X 0.25000   42.0000 - 2.2669 bias 41.0000 - -1.7215 bias 4.0000 - 2.0648 bias 3.0000 - 2.5233 bias            
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)9/19X 0.18333   46.0000 - 2.2053 bias 38.0000 - -1.6043 bias 8.0000 - 3.5717 bias 3.0000 - 2.3878 bias            
TOTAL 45.133508 42.739464 2.451492 0.954928 0.337900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000