[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Brian Kemp Casey Cagle | Stacey Abrams Stacey Abrams | Ted Metz | David C. Byrne | Bobby Waldrep | Bobby Williams | Rod Mack |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Trafalgar Group | 11/3 | X 1.00000 | 52.4000 - 2.0875 bias | 40.1000 - -1.3560 bias | ||||||

2020 Insight Polling (D) | 11/2 | X 0.98333 | 46.0000 - -2.3179 bias | 50.0000 - 1.8759 bias | 1.0000 - 1.1283 bias | |||||

Emerson College | 10/31 | X 0.95000 | 49.0000 - 0.7826 bias | 47.0000 - 0.7363 bias | 1.0000 - 1.4516 bias | |||||

Cygnal (R) | 10/30 | X 0.93333 | 49.2000 - 0.2881 bias | 47.0000 - -0.0166 bias | 3.8000 - 1.7553 bias | |||||

University of Georgia | 10/30 | X 0.93333 | 46.7000 - -1.4317 bias | 46.9000 - -0.0980 bias | 1.6000 - 2.2956 bias | |||||

Opinion Savvy | 10/29 | X 0.91667 | 47.2000 - -0.1818 bias | 48.1000 - 0.0978 bias | 2.0000 - 2.0896 bias | |||||

Marist Institute | 10/18 | X 0.73333 | 46.0000 - -0.3584 bias | 45.0000 - 0.4625 bias | 4.0000 - 4.1690 bias | |||||

Reuters/Ipsos | 10/11 | X 0.61667 | 47.0000 - -6.3315 bias | 46.0000 - -5.4077 bias | 2.0000 - 1.8599 bias | |||||

Survey USA | 10/8 | X 0.56667 | 47.0000 - 0.3780 bias | 45.0000 - 0.4044 bias | ||||||

Public Policy Polling | 10/6 | X 0.53333 | 46.0000 - 0.0973 bias | 46.0000 - 0.9088 bias | ||||||

Landmark Communications (R) | 9/27 | X 0.38333 | X 1/2 | 48.0000 - -0.4058 bias | 46.3000 - 0.3742 bias | 2.3000 - 0.7879 bias | ||||

SurveyMonkey | 9/24 | X 0.33333 | 43.0000 - -2.7710 bias | 43.0000 - 2.3995 bias | ||||||

Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) | 9/20 | X 0.26667 | X 1/2 | 42.0000 - -1.9998 bias | 48.0000 - 2.4851 bias | 3.0000 - 2.4865 bias | ||||

TOTAL | 48.252112 | 46.069558 | 0.147472 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |