Poll Average Details- GA Governor - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Brian Kemp Casey CagleStacey Abrams Stacey AbramsTed Metz David C. Byrne Bobby Waldrep Bobby Williams Rod Mack
Trafalgar Group11/3X 1.00000   52.4000 - 1.8988 bias 40.1000 - -1.6435 bias          
2020 Insight Polling (D)11/2X 0.98333   46.0000 - -2.3179 bias 50.0000 - 1.8759 bias 1.0000 - 1.1283 bias        
Emerson College10/31X 0.95000   49.0000 - 0.6906 bias 47.0000 - 0.8084 bias 1.0000 - 1.2130 bias        
Cygnal (R)10/30X 0.93333   49.2000 - 0.1689 bias 47.0000 - 0.0766 bias 3.8000 - 1.9588 bias        
University of Georgia10/30X 0.93333   46.7000 - -0.4747 bias 46.9000 - -0.1354 bias 1.6000 - 2.4717 bias        
Opinion Savvy10/29X 0.91667   47.2000 - -0.6111 bias 48.1000 - -0.3502 bias 2.0000 - 2.0896 bias        
Marist Institute10/18X 0.73333   46.0000 - -0.4397 bias 45.0000 - 0.7635 bias 4.0000 - 4.1685 bias        
Reuters/Ipsos10/11X 0.61667   47.0000 - 0.8563 bias 46.0000 - 3.1158 bias 2.0000 - 0.6991 bias        
Survey USA10/8X 0.56667   47.0000 - 0.3265 bias 45.0000 - 0.5274 bias          
Public Policy Polling10/6X 0.53333   46.0000 - -0.1800 bias 46.0000 - 1.1680 bias          
Landmark Communications (R)9/27X 0.38333  X 1/2 48.0000 - -0.2052 bias 46.3000 - 0.2105 bias 2.3000 - 1.2448 bias        
SurveyMonkey9/24X 0.33333   43.0000 - -2.2024 bias 43.0000 - 2.6000 bias          
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)9/20X 0.26667  X 1/2 42.0000 - -2.3099 bias 48.0000 - 2.7672 bias 3.0000 - 2.6831 bias        
TOTAL 47.742793 45.482554 0.221754 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000