Poll Average Details- GA Governor - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Brian Kemp Casey CagleStacey Abrams Stacey AbramsTed Metz David C. Byrne Bobby Waldrep Bobby Williams Rod Mack
Trafalgar Group11/3X 1.00000   52.4000 - 2.0875 bias 40.1000 - -1.3560 bias          
2020 Insight Polling (D)11/2X 0.98333   46.0000 - -2.3179 bias 50.0000 - 1.8759 bias 1.0000 - 1.1283 bias        
Emerson College10/31X 0.95000   49.0000 - 0.7826 bias 47.0000 - 0.7363 bias 1.0000 - 1.4516 bias        
Cygnal (R)10/30X 0.93333   49.2000 - 0.2881 bias 47.0000 - -0.0166 bias 3.8000 - 1.7553 bias        
University of Georgia10/30X 0.93333   46.7000 - -1.4317 bias 46.9000 - -0.0980 bias 1.6000 - 2.2956 bias        
Opinion Savvy10/29X 0.91667   47.2000 - -0.1818 bias 48.1000 - 0.0978 bias 2.0000 - 2.0896 bias        
Marist Institute10/18X 0.73333   46.0000 - -0.3584 bias 45.0000 - 0.4625 bias 4.0000 - 4.1690 bias        
Reuters/Ipsos10/11X 0.61667   47.0000 - -6.3315 bias 46.0000 - -5.4077 bias 2.0000 - 1.8599 bias        
Survey USA10/8X 0.56667   47.0000 - 0.3780 bias 45.0000 - 0.4044 bias          
Public Policy Polling10/6X 0.53333   46.0000 - 0.0973 bias 46.0000 - 0.9088 bias          
Landmark Communications (R)9/27X 0.38333  X 1/2 48.0000 - -0.4058 bias 46.3000 - 0.3742 bias 2.3000 - 0.7879 bias        
SurveyMonkey9/24X 0.33333   43.0000 - -2.7710 bias 43.0000 - 2.3995 bias          
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)9/20X 0.26667  X 1/2 42.0000 - -1.9998 bias 48.0000 - 2.4851 bias 3.0000 - 2.4865 bias        
TOTAL 48.252112 46.069558 0.147472 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000