Poll Average Details- US President - Popular Vote - 2016-11-08 23:55:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Gary Johnson Derrick Michael Reid	Jill Stein Raymond Haigood	Joe Biden	John McCain	Jeb Bush	Ralph Nader	Mike Pence	Ron Paul	Bernie Sanders	Paul Ryan	Mitt Romney	Sarah Palin	Colin Powell	Condoleezza Rice Donald J. Trump	Theodis "Ted" Brown, Sr.	Monica Moorehead	Barack Obama	Rudy Giuliani	Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg	Marco A. Rubio	Martin J. O'Malley	Tim Kaine	Scott Walker	Gloria E. La Riva	Jerome "Jerry" White	John Kasich	Dan R. Vacek	Chris Christie	Arthur C. Brumfield	Robert "Star" Locke	Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner	Willie Felix Carter	None of These Candidates	David C. Byrne	Write-In	Piotr Blass	Vermin Supreme	Kyle Kenley Kopitke	Darryl W. Perry	Richard A. Duncan	Frank Atwood	Joann Breivogel	Alyson Kennedy	Michelle Obama	Jeffrey Mackler	Bruce E. Lohmiller	James Hedges	Darrell L. Castle Patrick Anthony Ockander	Loren Collins	Bradford Lyttle	Rand Paul	Ben Carson	Ted Cruz	Janet Reid	William B. Feegbeh	Mark Blickley	Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik	Bruce E. Jaynes	Dale W. Steffes	Cathy J. Pendleton	Laurence Kotlikoff	Betty White	Tom Hoefling	Sheila "Samm" Tittle	Michael David Boyles	James Struck	Shawna Sterling	Scott Copeland Patrick Anthony Ockander	Anthony "Tony" Valdivia	Andrew Basiago	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	Stephen John McCarthy	Lynn S. Kahn	Ajay Sood	Chris Keniston	Paij Boring	Jeffrey Cooper	Jacqueline Gates	Bill "Spaceman" Lee	Peter Skewes	Doug Terry	Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado	Ryan Alan Scott	Rod Silva	Evan McMullin	Michael A. Maturen	Mike Smith	Princess Khadijah M. Jacob-Fambro	Michael Corsetti	Rocky Giordani	Cherunda Fox	Thomas Joseph Nieman	Marshall Schoenke	Ben Hartnell	Zoltan Istvan Gyurko	Denny Carroll Jackson	Craig Ellis	Timothy Allen Stevens	Scott Cubbler	Richard Turner Luesing, Jr.	David Perry	Roy Allen "Santa" Clark	William Martin Ling	Stephen L. Allen	Robert L. Buchanan	Claire Elisabeth Elliott	Ricky Muhammad	Sandra Wilson	Dustin Baird	Jamin Burton	Paul E. Blumenthal	Darryl Cummings	Kevin Deame	Jeffrey John Klojzy, Jr.	Jeffrey Anthony Wu	Ronald Evans	Jonathan Lee	Robert P. Morrow	James Jerome Bell	Michael Bickelmeyer	Barry Kirschner	Josiah R. Stroh	Douglas W. Thomson	Ray C. Brown	Melissa Kelly	G. Richard Mullis	Matthew Roberts	Mitchell In-Albon	Delano Steinacker	Corey Sterner	Brian Anthony Perry	Mary E. Thomas	William E. Bowhall, Jr.	Richard Baxter Edgell	Mohammed Keita	Demetra Jefferson Wysinger	Shelia Bolar	Dana E. Brown	Martin Carlisle	Ameer Flippin	Gerald Jennings II	Michael B. Puskar	Maurice Symonette	Laio Morris	Neer R. Asherie	Gary S. Canns	Ariel Cohen	William J. Connolly	Jason Fried	Michael Frederick Ingbar	Jason Mutford	Clifton Roberts	Esther Welsh	Barbara Whitaker	Robert M. Wolff	David Limbaugh	Matthew Water Stout	Charlotte R. R. Jobe	Harambe	Paul R. Adams	James Anderson	Mark J. Harper	Nathan Johnson	Kevin P. McKee	Timothy B. Meluch	Marc Urbach	Bill Belichick	Phillip Seeberg	Duff Cooper "Coop" Smith	Sister Soldjah	David Stack	Roy Wayne Tyree	Kora Vakil	Jennifer "J.J." Vogel-Walcutt	Charles Mitchell "Mitchell" Williams
Monmouth University	11/6	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 1.9679 bias	44.0000 - -0.9091 bias	4.0000 - 0.8035 bias	1.0000 - 0.1881 bias
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News	11/6	X 1.00000		48.0000 - 1.0608 bias	44.0000 - -0.5021 bias	3.0000 - 1.4422 bias	2.0000 - 0.5107 bias
SurveyMonkey	11/6	X 1.00000		47.0000 - 2.6000 bias	41.0000 - -2.2024 bias
CBS News	11/6	X 1.00000		45.0000 - 0.2313 bias	41.0000 - -0.2073 bias	5.0000 - 2.0915 bias	2.0000 - 1.3023 bias
Selzer & Co.	11/6	X 1.00000		44.0000 - 1.0019 bias	41.0000 - -0.2736 bias	4.0000 - 2.3909 bias	2.0000 - 1.6396 bias
Morning Consult	11/5	X 0.98333		45.0000 - 3.1429 bias	42.0000 - -1.6394 bias	8.0000 - 4.7960 bias	4.0000 - 2.9742 bias
Langer Research Associates	11/5	X 0.98333		47.0000 - 2.9247 bias	43.0000 - -1.7362 bias	4.0000 - 0.6212 bias	2.0000 - 0.5166 bias
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)	11/5	X 0.98333		44.0000 - 1.7306 bias	40.0000 - -0.7288 bias	6.0000 - 3.2369 bias	2.0000 - 0.7488 bias
Angus Reid	11/4	X 0.96667		48.0000 - 0.9842 bias	44.0000 - 1.4048 bias	6.0000 - 2.8376 bias
Rasmussen Reports	11/3	X 0.95000		45.0000 - 0.4180 bias	43.0000 - 1.5977 bias	4.0000 - 1.6402 bias	2.0000 - 1.6192 bias
Suffolk University	10/24	X 0.78333		47.0000 - 1.6356 bias	38.0000 - -2.1317 bias	4.0000 - 1.1435 bias	2.0000 - 0.4664 bias
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)	10/24	X 0.78333		50.0000 - 2.2053 bias	38.0000 - -1.6043 bias	5.0000 - 3.5717 bias	2.0000 - 2.3878 bias
GfK	10/24	X 0.78333		51.0000 - -2.9532 bias	37.0000 - -4.0330 bias	6.0000 - 2.9651 bias	2.0000 - 1.0171 bias
Gravis Marketing	10/23	X 0.76667		50.0000 - 1.1590 bias	50.0000 - 0.2608 bias
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)	10/23	X 0.76667		49.0000 - 0.8608 bias	44.0000 - 0.4312 bias	3.0000 - 2.2808 bias	2.0000 - 1.3465 bias
American Research Group	10/20	X 0.71667		49.0000 - -0.0031 bias	42.0000 - 0.7892 bias	4.0000 - 0.7110 bias	1.0000 - 0.0721 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/18	X 0.68333		47.0000 - 1.0754 bias	40.0000 - -0.2682 bias	7.0000 - 2.4881 bias	1.0000 - 1.2442 bias
PRRI	10/17	X 0.66667		51.0000 - 7.9719 bias	36.0000 - -5.3888 bias	3.0000 - 0.0485 bias
Survey USA	10/14	X 0.61667		46.0000 - 0.5274 bias	36.0000 - 0.3265 bias	5.0000 - 1.3296 bias	2.0000 - 1.0702 bias
Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D)	10/13	X 0.60000		47.0000 - 0.9782 bias	39.0000 - -0.7237 bias	7.0000 - 4.0836 bias	2.0000 - 1.0390 bias
Pew Research	10/10	X 0.55000		46.0000 - 1.4784 bias	39.0000 - -1.7614 bias	10.0000 - 4.8394 bias	4.0000 - 1.6642 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	10/10	X 0.55000		44.0000 - 3.1158 bias	37.0000 - 0.8563 bias	6.0000 - 0.6991 bias	2.0000 - 0.3616 bias
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies	10/9	X 0.53333		46.0000 - 3.8485 bias	35.0000 - -3.1466 bias	9.0000 - 6.4978 bias	2.0000 - 1.1077 bias
Fairleigh Dickinson University	10/2	X 0.41667		46.0000 - -0.3787 bias	36.0000 - 0.7776 bias	11.0000 - 3.8781 bias	3.0000 - 1.9549 bias
Marist Institute	9/20	X 0.21667		45.0000 - 0.7635 bias	39.0000 - -0.4397 bias	10.0000 - 4.1685 bias	4.0000 - 2.5135 bias
Saint Leo University	9/16	X 0.15000		46.2000 - 3.4382 bias	41.0000 - -3.7505 bias	9.3000 - 5.0488 bias	3.6000 - 2.0733 bias
Emerson College	9/13	X 0.10000		41.0000 - 0.8084 bias	43.0000 - 0.6906 bias	9.0000 - 1.2130 bias	2.0000 - 1.4786 bias
TOTAL				45.536124	41.737958	3.047956	0.924815	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000