Poll Average Details- IRE Dáil Éireann - Popular Vote - 2016-02-26 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Fine Gael Fianna Fáil Sinn Féin Independents Labour Party Solidarity-People Before Profit Social Democrats Comhaontas Glas/Green Party Renua Ireland Workers' Party of Ireland Fís Nua Independents 4 Change Direct Democracy Ireland Catholic Democrats Independent Alliance Irish Democratic Party Communist Party of Ireland Identity Ireland
Red C2/21X 1.00000   30.0000 - 2.0226 bias 20.0000 - 0.4805 bias 15.0000 - 2.3933 bias 16.0000 - 1.8264 bias 7.0000 - -0.7493 bias 3.0000 - -0.9397 bias 4.0000 - 0.0286 bias 3.0000 - -1.7278 bias 2.0000 - 0.3458 bias                  
Milward Brown Lansdowne2/18X 0.95000   27.0000 - 2.9825 bias 23.0000 - 1.3517 bias 19.0000 - 6.7067 bias 14.0000 - 3.7482 bias 6.0000 - -5.1415 bias 5.0000 - 1.8567 bias 4.0000 - 0.9215 bias 2.0000 - -0.7540 bias 2.0000 - 2.3032 bias                  
Behaviour & Attitudes2/16X 0.91667   30.0000 - 1.7854 bias 22.0000 - 3.8074 bias 15.0000 - -2.1541 bias 15.0000 - 0.5428 bias 4.0000 - -1.4859 bias 5.0000 - 1.0108 bias 3.0000 - -0.9616 bias 3.0000 - 0.0978 bias 3.0000 - 0.7753 bias 1.0000 - 0.8383 bias                
Ipsos MRBI2/2X 0.68333   28.0000 - -3.7227 bias 21.0000 - -1.0139 bias 19.0000 - 0.5002 bias 11.0000 - -2.0054 bias 7.0000 - -7.5117 bias 4.0000 - 0.2708 bias 2.0000 - -0.8992 bias 2.0000 - 0.4411 bias 1.0000 - -1.1264 bias                  
TOTAL 27.699884 20.226695 14.831396 12.972469 9.374308 3.698842 3.523538 3.118225 1.368594 0.161700 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000