Poll Average Details- CAN House of Commons - Popular Vote - 2015-10-19 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Liberal Party Conservative Party New Democratic Party Bloc Québécois Green Party Communist Party Christian Heritage Party Progressive Canadian Party Marxist-Leninist Party Marijuana Party Canadian Action Party Libertarian Party Animal Alliance Environment Voters Independent No Party Affiliation Canada Party Rhinoceros Party Forces et Démocratie Democratic Advancement Party Pirate Party of Canada Alliance of the North Party for Accountability, Competency & Transparency Seniors Party The Bridge United Party
Nanos Research10/18X 1.00000   38.2000 - 0.0404 bias 30.1000 - -1.4259 bias 21.2000 - 1.4413 bias 4.9000 - -0.3086 bias 4.7000 - 0.7857 bias                                        
Ekos Research Associates10/18X 1.00000   35.8000 - -3.0634 bias 31.9000 - 0.4387 bias 20.4000 - 1.8079 bias 4.9000 - 0.0676 bias 5.6000 - 1.6785 bias                                        
Forum Research10/18X 1.00000   40.0000 - -1.9734 bias 30.0000 - -2.4669 bias 20.0000 - 1.5050 bias 6.0000 - 0.7437 bias 3.0000 - 1.8584 bias                                        
Ipsos10/13X 0.91667   37.0000 - 2.8238 bias 31.0000 - -1.5757 bias 24.0000 - 2.2113 bias 5.0000 - -2.2638 bias 2.0000 - 1.3303 bias                                        
Leger Marketing9/2X 0.23333   30.0000 - 1.7985 bias 28.0000 - -1.3959 bias 31.0000 - 0.1085 bias 4.0000 - 4.7421 bias 5.0000 - 1.2886 bias                                        
Abacus Data8/28X 0.15000   28.0000 - -4.9714 bias 30.0000 - -2.3234 bias 31.0000 - 7.1125 bias 3.0000 - -2.8896 bias 7.0000 - 2.3226 bias                                        
TOTAL 37.639684 31.865747 20.374399 5.271178 2.595092 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000