Poll Average Details- ME Governor - 2014-11-04 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Paul LePage Paul LePageMike Michaud Mike MichaudEliot Cutler J. Martin "Marty" Vachon
Maine People's Resource Center11/2X 1.00000   44.4000 - -1.8969 bias 44.7000 - 1.4728 bias 9.2000 - -0.9374 bias  
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)10/24X 0.85000  X 1/2 42.3000 - 0.4956 bias 41.6000 - -0.5209 bias 13.2000 - 1.6372 bias  
Public Policy Polling10/23X 0.83333   40.0000 - 0.0973 bias 40.0000 - 0.9088 bias 17.0000 - 2.9029 bias  
YouGov10/23X 0.83333   35.0000 - 0.0715 bias 37.0000 - 1.3622 bias 7.0000 - 1.1655 bias  
Pan Atlantic SMS10/21X 0.80000   40.3000 - -2.6054 bias 39.7000 - 2.1754 bias 12.7000 - 1.4768 bias  
University of New Hampshire10/21X 0.80000   45.0000 - -2.4512 bias 35.0000 - 3.2219 bias 16.0000 - 3.9743 bias  
Ipsos-Public Affairs10/12X 0.65000   36.0000 - -21.0260 bias 42.0000 - -19.3724 bias 16.0000 - 26.1463 bias  
Rasmussen Reports10/9X 0.60000   41.0000 - 1.6093 bias 40.0000 - 0.4148 bias 16.0000 - 1.2092 bias  
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)10/7X 0.56667   39.0000 - -1.5423 bias 43.0000 - 2.1752 bias 15.0000 - 4.9505 bias  
FrederickPolls9/17X 0.23333  X 1/2 35.0000 - -2.4498 bias 35.0000 - -0.4516 bias 19.0000 - 3.3398 bias  
TOTAL 43.283444 40.718213 9.065887 0.000000