[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Paul LePage Paul LePage | Mike Michaud Mike Michaud | Eliot Cutler | J. Martin "Marty" Vachon |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Maine People's Resource Center | 11/2 | X 1.00000 | 44.4000 - -1.8969 bias | 44.7000 - 1.4728 bias | 9.2000 - -0.9374 bias | ||

Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) | 10/24 | X 0.85000 | X 1/2 | 42.3000 - 0.4956 bias | 41.6000 - -0.5207 bias | 13.2000 - 1.6372 bias | |

Public Policy Polling | 10/23 | X 0.83333 | 40.0000 - -0.1428 bias | 40.0000 - 1.2250 bias | 17.0000 - 2.9916 bias | ||

YouGov | 10/23 | X 0.83333 | 35.0000 - 0.0142 bias | 37.0000 - 1.4293 bias | 7.0000 - 1.2001 bias | ||

University of New Hampshire | 10/21 | X 0.80000 | 45.0000 - -2.2686 bias | 35.0000 - 2.9279 bias | 16.0000 - 3.9743 bias | ||

Pan Atlantic SMS | 10/21 | X 0.80000 | 40.3000 - -2.7859 bias | 39.7000 - 2.7898 bias | 12.7000 - 1.3164 bias | ||

Ipsos-Public Affairs | 10/12 | X 0.65000 | 36.0000 - -21.0260 bias | 42.0000 - -19.3724 bias | 16.0000 - 26.1463 bias | ||

Rasmussen Reports | 10/9 | X 0.60000 | 41.0000 - 1.5723 bias | 40.0000 - 0.4455 bias | 16.0000 - 1.2092 bias | ||

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) | 10/7 | X 0.56667 | 39.0000 - -1.5420 bias | 43.0000 - 2.1678 bias | 15.0000 - 4.5188 bias | ||

FrederickPolls | 9/17 | X 0.23333 | X 1/2 | 35.0000 - -2.0940 bias | 35.0000 - 0.7644 bias | 19.0000 - 3.3398 bias | |

TOTAL | 43.317659 | 40.607735 | 9.106672 | 0.000000 |