Poll Average Details- TN US President - R Primary - 2012-03-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Rick Santorum Mitt Romney Newt Gingrich Ron Paul Gary Johnson Rick Perry Charles E. "Buddy" Roemer III Uncommitted Jon Huntsman Michele Bachmann
Public Policy Polling3/4X 1.00000   34.0000 - 0.0973 bias 29.0000 - 0.0973 bias 27.0000 - 0.0973 bias 8.0000 - 0.0973 bias            
We Ask America3/4X 1.00000   29.0000 - 0.7827 bias 30.0000 - 0.7827 bias 29.0000 - 0.7827 bias 12.0000 - 0.7827 bias            
Rasmussen Reports3/3X 0.98333   34.0000 - 1.6097 bias 30.0000 - 1.6097 bias 18.0000 - 1.6097 bias 8.0000 - 1.6097 bias            
American Research Group3/3X 0.98333   35.0000 - 0.9920 bias 31.0000 - 0.9920 bias 20.0000 - 0.9920 bias 9.0000 - 0.9920 bias            
YouGov3/1X 0.95000   32.0000 - 0.0717 bias 23.0000 - 0.0717 bias 16.0000 - 0.0717 bias 13.0000 - 0.0717 bias            
Princeton Survey Research Associates2/22X 0.81667   33.0000 - -1.1956 bias 17.0000 - -1.1956 bias 10.0000 - -1.1956 bias 13.0000 - -1.1956 bias            
TOTAL 32.384294 26.544178 19.919178 9.968597 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000