Poll Average Details- TN US Senate - 2006-11-07 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bob Corker Bob CorkerHarold E. Ford, Jr. Harold E. Ford, Jr.John Jay Hooker Mary Taylor-Shelby Wright H. Gary Keplinger David "None Of The Above" Gatchell Emory "Bo" Heyward Christina Lugo Ed Choate James Anthony Gray Gloria D. Reagon Price
OnPoint Polling and Research11/6X 1.00000   48.0000 - 0.0144 bias 47.0000 - 1.5272 bias                  
Survey USA11/5X 0.98333   51.0000 - 0.3265 bias 46.0000 - 0.5274 bias                  
Polimetrix11/5X 0.98333   51.0000 - 1.6909 bias 46.0000 - 1.9452 bias                  
Rasmussen Reports11/4X 0.96667   51.0000 - 1.5977 bias 47.0000 - 0.4180 bias                  
Gallup11/4X 0.96667   49.0000 - 2.8840 bias 46.0000 - -2.6491 bias                  
Mason-Dixon11/3X 0.95000   50.0000 - 0.8543 bias 38.0000 - 0.4277 bias                  
Hamilton Campaigns (D)11/1X 0.91667   40.0000 - -1.1628 bias 46.0000 - 2.0559 bias                  
Reuters/Zogby10/30X 0.88333   53.0000 - 0.1506 bias 43.0000 - 1.3729 bias                  
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/29X 0.86667   52.0000 - 0.4312 bias 44.0000 - 0.8608 bias                  
Benenson Strategy Group (D)10/28X 0.85000   43.0000 - -1.4207 bias 48.0000 - 2.2156 bias                  
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.83333   49.3000 - 0.8374 bias 48.1000 - 0.0637 bias                  
LA Times10/23X 0.76667   49.0000 - 1.0817 bias 44.0000 - 1.0135 bias                  
Middle Tennessee State University9/30X 0.38333   43.0000 - -2.9444 bias 42.0000 - 4.2856 bias                  
TOTAL 48.187334 44.234272 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000