Poll Average Details- NC US Senate - 2016-11-08 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Richard Burr	Deborah K. Ross	Sean Haugh
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		43.0000 - -2.2024 bias	47.0000 - 2.6000 bias	6.0000 - 3.8473 bias
Pulse Opinion Research	11/6	X 0.98333		46.0000 - 1.6194 bias	47.0000 - -0.2544 bias
Siena Research Institute	11/6	X 0.98333		45.0000 - -0.0165 bias	46.0000 - 0.4840 bias
Quinnipiac University	11/6	X 0.98333		47.0000 - -0.2682 bias	47.0000 - 1.0754 bias
Gravis Marketing	11/4	X 0.95000		47.0000 - 0.2608 bias	48.0000 - 1.1590 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/1	X 0.90000		48.0000 - -0.1800 bias	45.0000 - 1.1680 bias
Survey USA	10/31	X 0.88333		49.0000 - 0.3265 bias	43.0000 - 0.5274 bias	2.0000 - 1.3296 bias
YouGov	10/28	X 0.83333		44.0000 - 0.0288 bias	44.0000 - 1.4134 bias
Elon University	10/27	X 0.81667		43.5000 - 0.1034 bias	39.9000 - 1.4284 bias	3.0000 - -0.1425 bias
Emerson College	10/27	X 0.81667		48.0000 - 0.6906 bias	44.0000 - 0.8084 bias
Marist Institute	10/26	X 0.80000		48.0000 - -0.4397 bias	48.0000 - 0.7635 bias
Monmouth University	10/23	X 0.75000		49.0000 - -0.9091 bias	43.0000 - 1.9679 bias	2.0000 - 0.8035 bias
Lucid	10/18	X 0.66667		46.0000 - -2.8535 bias	44.0000 - 2.1557 bias
Civitas Institute (R)	10/16	X 0.63333		44.0000 - -1.8372 bias	37.0000 - 1.5441 bias	4.0000 - 1.4738 bias
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)	10/15	X 0.61667		48.0000 - 0.4312 bias	47.0000 - 0.8608 bias
Suffolk University	10/12	X 0.56667		40.0000 - -2.1317 bias	36.0000 - 1.6356 bias	6.0000 - 1.1435 bias
High Point University	10/6	X 0.46667		47.0000 - -1.6580 bias	42.0000 - -0.0133 bias	6.0000 - 3.3889 bias
Selzer & Co.	10/2	X 0.40000		44.0000 - -0.2736 bias	46.0000 - 1.0019 bias
Meredith College	9/22	X 0.23333		35.0000 - -1.9836 bias	38.0000 - 3.6941 bias
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News	9/20	X 0.20000		43.0000 - -0.5021 bias	37.0000 - 1.0608 bias	6.0000 - 1.4422 bias
TOTAL				46.246696	43.088673	2.386957