Poll Average Details- NH US Senate - 2016-11-08 00:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Kelly A. Ayotte Kelly A. Ayotte	Maggie Hassan Write-In	Aaron Day	Brian Chabot	Scattering	John Riggieri
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		42.0000 - -2.2024 bias	51.0000 - 2.6000 bias	6.0000 - 3.7942 bias
Pulse Opinion Research	11/6	X 0.98333		42.0000 - 1.6194 bias	50.0000 - -0.2544 bias
University of New Hampshire	11/6	X 0.98333		45.0000 - -2.2994 bias	49.0000 - 2.6652 bias
Emerson College	11/5	X 0.96667		49.0000 - 0.6906 bias	46.0000 - 0.8084 bias
Suffolk University	11/2	X 0.91667		44.4000 - -2.1317 bias	41.6000 - 1.6356 bias
American Research Group	11/2	X 0.91667		49.0000 - 0.7892 bias	46.0000 - -0.0031 bias
Abt SRBI	11/2	X 0.91667		46.0000 - -0.7883 bias	47.0000 - 0.1922 bias		4.0000 - 3.4234 bias
Gravis Marketing	11/2	X 0.91667		46.0000 - 0.2608 bias	44.0000 - 1.1590 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/1	X 0.90000		45.0000 - -0.1800 bias	48.0000 - 1.1680 bias
MassINC Polling Group	11/1	X 0.90000		51.0000 - 0.8107 bias	45.0000 - -0.0957 bias
Praecones Analytica	10/28	X 0.83333		49.1000 - 2.4927 bias	47.0000 - 0.4633 bias
Monmouth University	10/25	X 0.78333		46.0000 - -0.9091 bias	46.0000 - 1.9679 bias		5.0000 - 0.8035 bias
Marist Institute	10/24	X 0.76667		48.0000 - -0.4397 bias	47.0000 - 0.7635 bias
YouGov	10/21	X 0.71667		48.0000 - 0.0288 bias	44.0000 - 1.4134 bias		3.0000 - 3.6071 bias
GBA Strategies (D)	9/27	X 0.31667		44.0000 - -1.9714 bias	47.0000 - 2.3010 bias		7.0000 - 3.3571 bias
TOTAL				46.523457	45.579448	2.205800	1.658892	0.000000	0.000000