Poll Average Details- MO US Senate - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Roy Blunt Roy BluntJason Kander Jason KanderJonathan Dine Herschel E. YoungJohnathan McFarland Fred Ryman Gina Bufe Patrick Lee Thomas Morgan Steven Wallace Nathaniel "Nate" Malone Jon Kelly
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   44.0000 - -2.2024 bias 51.0000 - 2.6000 bias                  
Emerson College11/5X 0.96667   45.0000 - 0.6906 bias 46.0000 - 0.8084 bias                  
Clarity Campaign Labs11/2X 0.91667   47.0000 - -1.3124 bias 45.0000 - 3.9429 bias                  
Remington Research11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - -0.4438 bias 44.0000 - 0.8599 bias 1.0000 - 0.4208 bias 1.0000 - 0.4244 bias 1.0000 - 0.6425 bias            
DFM Research11/1X 0.90000   41.0000 - -4.0899 bias 41.0000 - 4.5836 bias                  
Public Policy Polling11/1X 0.90000   46.0000 - -0.1800 bias 44.0000 - 1.1680 bias                  
Monmouth University10/31X 0.88333   47.0000 - -0.9091 bias 46.0000 - 1.9679 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias                
BK Strategies10/28X 0.83333   47.0000 - 3.2404 bias 44.0000 - 0.5602 bias   1.0000 - -0.0217 bias 1.0000 - 0.1687 bias            
Mason-Dixon10/26X 0.80000   47.0000 - 0.8543 bias 46.0000 - 0.4277 bias                  
TOTAL 46.267422 43.385584 0.884965 0.790071 0.585288 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000