Poll Average Details- LA US Senate - Initial Election - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John N. Kennedy Foster L. Campbell Charles W. Boustany, Jr. Caroline Fayard John Fleming Rob Maness David Duke Joseph Cao Josh Pellerin Abhay Patel Troy Hebert Derrick Edwards Arden Wells William Robert "Bob" Lang, Jr. Thomas Clements Gregory Taylor Beryl Billiot Le Roy "Rev" Gillam Kaitlin Marone Donald "Crawdaddy" Crawford Charles Marsala M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza Gary Coldewy Landrieu Peter Williams
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   21.0000 - -2.7710 bias 13.0000 - 2.3995 bias 14.0000 - -2.7710 bias 21.0000 - 2.3995 bias 12.0000 - -2.7710 bias 6.0000 - -2.7710 bias 3.0000 - -2.7710 bias   4.0000 - 2.3995 bias                              
Lucid10/21X 0.71667   18.0000 - -3.2437 bias 17.0000 - 2.5143 bias 12.0000 - -3.2437 bias 12.0000 - 2.5143 bias 10.0000 - -3.2437 bias 4.0000 - -3.2437 bias 4.0000 - -3.2437 bias 2.0000 - -3.2437 bias                                
Southern Media & Opinion10/21X 0.71667   22.0000 - 1.3766 bias 16.0000 - 0.0281 bias 14.0000 - 1.3766 bias 12.0000 - 0.0281 bias 9.0000 - 1.3766 bias 3.4000 - 1.3766 bias 3.0000 - 1.3766 bias   3.5000 - 0.0281 bias   1.1000 - 0.8181 bias                          
University of New Orleans10/21X 0.71667   22.0000 - -0.0624 bias 15.0000 - 0.6058 bias 15.0000 - -0.0624 bias 10.0000 - 0.6058 bias 11.0000 - -0.0624 bias 4.0000 - -0.0624 bias 2.0000 - -0.0624 bias 1.0000 - -0.0624 bias   1.0000 - -0.0624 bias                            
Market Research Insight10/19X 0.68333   17.0000 - -0.5645 bias 14.0000 - 2.1422 bias 16.0000 - -0.5645 bias 12.0000 - 2.1422 bias 7.0000 - -0.5645 bias                                      
Mason-Dixon10/19X 0.68333   24.2000 - 0.8876 bias 18.9000 - 0.3444 bias 11.4000 - 0.8876 bias 12.0000 - 0.3444 bias 10.2000 - 0.8876 bias 3.4000 - 0.8876 bias 5.1000 - 0.8876 bias   0.2000 - 0.3444 bias     0.5000 - 0.3444 bias                   0.3000 - 0.3444 bias 0.3000 - 0.3444 bias 0.2000 - 0.3444 bias
JMC Analytics and Polling10/15X 0.61667  X 1/2 15.5000 - 0.2846 bias 23.4000 - -0.0113 bias 14.4000 - 0.2846 bias 9.4000 - -0.0113 bias 14.5000 - 0.2846 bias 2.4000 - 0.2846 bias 2.6000 - 0.2846 bias                                  
TOTAL 21.183649 14.662231 14.589003 12.085720 11.102474 4.996265 4.151999 3.153050 1.662509 1.062400 0.281900 0.155600 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.044400 -0.044400 -0.144400